Paper describing a new forecast model that follows multiple tropical cyclones at the same time highlighted on the cover of the latest Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Forecast models that follow individual tropical cyclones (TCs), like NOAA’s Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model, have contributed to significant improvement of intensity forecasts for over a decade.  The original HWRF could only follow one TC, but recent advances allow individual multiple nests to follow more than one TC.  This is the first time that the … Continue reading Paper describing a new forecast model that follows multiple tropical cyclones at the same time highlighted on the cover of the latest Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

HRD Seminar – Dr. Hua Leighton (CIMAS/HRD) – 24 March 2022

Dr. Leighton presented a seminar titled “Characterizing Raindrop Size Distributions Observed in Hurricanes”. ABSTRACT: One of the main applications of radar measurements is to estimate rainfall rate based on its power-law relationships with radar reflectivity. Different relationships have been obtained for different weather scenarios. Hurricanes, in comparison with other severe weather systems, have a much longer … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Dr. Hua Leighton (CIMAS/HRD) – 24 March 2022

HRD scientists participate in the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2021

The American Geophysical Union is holding their annual Fall Meeting 13-17 December in New Orleans, and also online. Every year, the Fall Meeting unites >25,000 attendees from 100+ countries in the Earth and space sciences community to discuss findings, connect scientists from around the world, advance the profession and connect over passion for the impact … Continue reading HRD scientists participate in the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2021

Paper on NOAA’s new hurricane forecast models published in Weather and Forecasting

We tested two developmental versions of a new forecast model for tropical cyclones being developed by NOAA. Track forecasts from the AOML version were better than NOAA’s current operational models, and intensity forecasts showed promise as well. In particular, the models correctly predicted rapid intensification (when a tropical cyclone’s maximum sustained wind speed increases by … Continue reading Paper on NOAA’s new hurricane forecast models published in Weather and Forecasting

Paper describing a new forecast model that follows multiple tropical cyclones at the same time published in The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

Forecast models that follow individual tropical cyclones (TCs), like NOAA’s Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model, have contributed to significant improvement of intensity forecasts for over a decade.  The original HWRF could only follow one TC, but recent advances allow individual multiple nests to follow more than one TC.  This is the first time … Continue reading Paper describing a new forecast model that follows multiple tropical cyclones at the same time published in The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

HRD scientists participate in the 34th American Meteorological Society Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

34th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology Virtual Meeting The 34th AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology was held virtually 10-14 May after being postponed from 2020. This is the premiere meeting for operational and research scientists who work on understanding and forecasting tropical cyclones and other tropical weather around the world. HRD scientist … Continue reading HRD scientists participate in the 34th American Meteorological Society Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

AOML Keynotes for November/December 2020: The 2020 hurricane field program, cloud ice in hurricanes, hurricane gliders, and more…

Another story details the Saildrone, an autonomous vehicle that sails on the ocean surface collecting upper-ocean and near-surface weather data, that will be tested in hurricane conditions. Check out the most recent issue of AOML Keynotes here.

Paper about how a new forecast model for hurricanes performed during 2019 published in Weather and Forecasting

This paper summarizes forecasts from an experimental forecast model called the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) made during the 2019 Hurricane Season. HAFS is being developed for future use as an operational hurricane model to help forecasters predict what a hurricane is going to do. HAFS forecasts the weather on a set of points … Continue reading Paper about how a new forecast model for hurricanes performed during 2019 published in Weather and Forecasting