Weather forecasters use computer models to make predictions. These forecasts of the future depend on knowing what is happening now, what we call initial conditions. However, we can't measure the weather at every location on earth all the time, so we don't know exactly what these initial conditions are. Therefore, we run forecast models many … Continue reading Paper on how Hurricane Michael (2018) intensified rapidly in the Gulf of Mexico released online in Monthly Weather Review
Read about these topics at https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/wp-content/uploads/2020/02/Nov-Dec-2019-Keynotes.pdf.
HRD scientists recently attended the 100th American Meteorological Society Meeting in Boston. There, they presented 33 oral presentations and 10 posters. Left to right: Mu-Chich Ko, Andrew Kren, Joe Cione, Karina Apodaca, Michael Mueller, Sarah Ditchek, Steve Diaz, Jonathan Zawislak, Andy Hazelton, Lisa Bucci, Frank Marks, Shirley Murillo, Xuejin Zhang, John Cortinas, Eric Uhlhorn, and … Continue reading HRD at the American Meteorological Society Centennial Meeting
“Many of the storms we flew in 2019 were ‘living on the edge,’ in that they were weak, vertically sheared, but also unpredictable. In previous years, we saw these storms intensify, such as Hurricane Michael in 2018. This season, many struggled to intensify. As we continue to build a dataset of these sheared storms, we … Continue reading AOML Flies Science Missions into Succession of Atlantic Storms
April’s science meeting consisted of four presentations: Sim Aberson - A Preliminary Look at High-resolution HEDAS analyses of Pre-Sergio (2018) Xuejin Zhang - Development of Moving Nest in FV3GFS Ghassan Alaka - HWRF Verification: Overall Progress & 2018 Highlights Lisa Bucci - Exploring TC Predictability in an OSSE framework Three of the four presentations are … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of April 2019
December’s science meeting consisted of seven presentations: Dave Raymond: "The Organization of Tropical East Pacific Convection (OTREC) Field Campaign" Xuejin Zhang: "Development of Hurricane Analysis and Forecasting System" Rob Rogers: "Summary of the 2018 HFP-IFEX" Dr. Chris Barnett: "Overview of JPSS Atlantic/SAL Field Campaign Activities" Gus Alaka: "Verification of the 2018 Basin-Scale HWRF" Michael Fischer: … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of December 2018
Also, hurricane seasonal forecasts and summer interns at AOML. Read about these topics and more at http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/keynotes/PDF-Files/July-Aug2018.pdf.
Thirty-one AOML and HRD scientists participated in the recent 33rd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology in Ponte Vedra, FL, as authors or co-authors on 65 presentations and 19 posters. Roughly 783 presentations (507 oral presentations in 67 sessions and 276 posters in 2 session) were submitted to the conference. Of the 567 TC-related presentations … Continue reading AOML and HRD researchers at 33rd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Ponte Vedra, FL – 15-20 April 2018
Summary: Forecasters and researchers use the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model to forecast where a hurricane will go, how strong and large it will be, and where the strongest winds will be. Wind in hurricanes are different over very short distances like 100 m, or the length of a football field, what is … Continue reading Paper on how small-scale changes in winds in hurricanes impact hurricane forecasts published in Weather and Forecasting