Also, hurricane seasonal forecasts and summer interns at AOML. Read about these topics and more at http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/keynotes/PDF-Files/July-Aug2018.pdf.
You can read the paper at https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/10.1175/MWR-D-18-0030.1.
It's in the Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society at https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.3290.
Mr. Ahern presented a seminar titled “Observed and Simulated Boundary Layer Structures in the Hurricane Inner-core During Intensity Change”. ABSTRACT: GPS dropwindsonde data from Atlantic basin aircraft reconnaissance missions (Hock and Franklin 1999) between 1998 and 2015 are gathered to construct composites of the hurricane inner-core boundary layer during modes of intensity change. Sounding information … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Kyle Ahern, Florida State University – 4 September 2018
Read about the satellites at https://rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/qj.3290.
Summary: When hurricanes become strong, they sometimes form a second eyewall around the main eyewall. This second ring of strong winds and heavy rain means that strong, damaging winds could cover a larger area than before. However, it also means that the storm might temporarily weaken. Understanding and predicting this process is therefore very important. … Continue reading Paper on how eyewall replacement cycles start published in The Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences
June’s science meeting consisted of three presentations: Sim Aberson – Extreme horizontal and vertical motions measured by dropsondes in tropical cyclones: 2017 update Erin Jones – Quantifying Spiral Gravity Waves Radiating from Tropical Cyclones Robert Rogers – Tropical Cyclone Vortex Development in Moderate Shear All the presentations are available on the anonymous ftp site at: ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/blog/meetings/2018/Science/HRD_SciMeet_20180614.zip
Thirty-one AOML and HRD scientists participated in the recent 33rd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology in Ponte Vedra, FL, as authors or co-authors on 65 presentations and 19 posters. Roughly 783 presentations (507 oral presentations in 67 sessions and 276 posters in 2 session) were submitted to the conference. Of the 567 TC-related presentations … Continue reading AOML and HRD researchers at 33rd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Ponte Vedra, FL – 15-20 April 2018
Summary: Forecasters and researchers use the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model to forecast where a hurricane will go, how strong and large it will be, and where the strongest winds will be. Wind in hurricanes are different over very short distances like 100 m, or the length of a football field, what is … Continue reading Paper on how small-scale changes in winds in hurricanes impact hurricane forecasts published in Weather and Forecasting
Summary: NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft have a Doppler radar that measures wind through the entire hurricane. We analyzed these radar data collected in many hurricanes since 2004. Previous studies found that the location of the fastest upward moving air (what we call updrafts) may tell us how strong the storm will be a few hours … Continue reading Paper on updrafts in hurricanes and how they relate to intensity changes published in Monthly Weather Review