Paper on how getting turbulence correct in forecast models can improve intensity forecasts in sheared storms released online in Monthly Weather Review

Summary:  Though tropical cyclones (TCs) are usually hundreds of miles across, the strongest wind occurs in gusts that can be smaller than 100 yards across, or the size of a football field. We call features that cover such a small area the “turbulent scale.” Other features that are important in forecasting TCs can be as … Continue reading Paper on how getting turbulence correct in forecast models can improve intensity forecasts in sheared storms released online in Monthly Weather Review

HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricane Michael – 26 October 2018

HRD researchers discussed the results from the 6 P-3 and 3 G-IV missions into Hurricane Michael, AL14 (8-10 October 2018). The agenda for the discussion was: Agenda: Missions Overview (Jon Zawislak) Deployment Overview (Jon Zawislak) 20181008H1 (Kelly Ryan) 20181009H1 (Rob Rogers) 20181009N2 (Jason Dunion/ John Kaplan) 20181009H2/Coyote (Kelly Ryan) 20181010H1 (Rob Rogers/ Jon Zawislak) EMC … Continue reading HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricane Michael – 26 October 2018

HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricane Florence, EP96 Genesis, and G-IV SAL Mission – 22 October 2018

HRD researchers discussed the results from the 3 P-3 and 9 G-IV missions into Hurricane Florence, AL06 (8-13 September 2018). The agenda for the discussion was: Agenda: Missions Overview (Jon Zawislak) Deployment Overview 20180908H1 (Jon Zawislak) 20180909H1 (Jon Zawislak) 20180910H1 (Jon Zawislak) NESDIS / Ocean Winds (Joe Sapp NESDIS) HRD researchers also discussed the results … Continue reading HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricane Florence, EP96 Genesis, and G-IV SAL Mission – 22 October 2018

HRD Seminar – Kyle Ahern, Florida State University – 4 September 2018

Mr. Ahern presented a seminar titled “Observed and Simulated Boundary Layer Structures in the Hurricane Inner-core During Intensity Change”. ABSTRACT: GPS dropwindsonde data from Atlantic basin aircraft reconnaissance missions (Hock and Franklin 1999) between 1998 and 2015 are gathered to construct composites of the hurricane inner-core boundary layer during modes of intensity change. Sounding information … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Kyle Ahern, Florida State University – 4 September 2018

Paper on how eyewall replacement cycles start published in The Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

Summary: When hurricanes become strong, they sometimes form a second eyewall around the main eyewall. This second ring of strong winds and heavy rain means that strong, damaging winds could cover a larger area than before. However, it also means that the storm might temporarily weaken. Understanding and predicting this process is therefore very important. … Continue reading Paper on how eyewall replacement cycles start published in The Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of June 2018

June’s science meeting consisted of three presentations: Sim Aberson – Extreme horizontal and vertical motions measured by dropsondes in tropical cyclones:  2017 update Erin Jones – Quantifying Spiral Gravity Waves Radiating from Tropical Cyclones Robert Rogers – Tropical Cyclone Vortex Development in Moderate Shear All the presentations are available on the anonymous ftp site at: ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/blog/meetings/2018/Science/HRD_SciMeet_20180614.zip