HRD Monthly Science Meeting of February 2018

February’s science meeting consisted of three presentations: Rob Rogers: The relationship between tropical cyclone structure and intensification in moderate vertical shear Jon Zawislak: 2018 NOAA/AOML/HRD Hurricane Field Program Intensity Forecast Experiment (IFEX): Overview of Experiment Design Pete Black: Emerging Airborne Technologies for improved TC Track and Intensity Forecasting: Preliminary Observations from SHOUT and EPOCH All the …

HRD Seminar – Michael Fischer, University of Albany/SUNY – 9 February 2018

Michael presented a seminar titled  “Normalized Convective Characteristics of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Events in the North Atlantic and Eastern North Pacific”. Abstract The relationship between tropical cyclone (TC) convective characteristics and TC intensity change is explored using infrared and passive microwave satellite imagery of TCs in the North Atlantic and eastern North Pacific basins from …

Paper on the difference between rapidly intensifying storms and those that don’t intensify as fast published in Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

Summary: The main model that forecasters use to predict what a hurricane will do is the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) model. Because we cannot measure what is currently happening in the hurricane exactly, we run the model many times at once with different measurements to get an idea of the different forecasts that …

Paper on Hurricane Patricia, the most intense hurricane ever recorded in the Western Hemisphere, published in the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society

In October 2015, off the west coast of Mexico, Hurricane Patricia became the strongest hurricane ever recorded in the western hemisphere, intensifying faster than any other storm on record. A unique set of observations were collected in Patricia. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) and National Aeronautics and Space Administration/Office of Naval Research (ONR) aircraft …

HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricanes Irma, Jose, and Maria – Part 1 – 4 October 2017

HRD researchers discussed the results from the 8 P-3 and 8 G-IV missions into Hurricane Irma (3-8 September 2017). The agenda for the discussion was: Missions Overview (Reasor) Science Discussions 20170903H1 TDR (Jon Zawislak) 20170904H1 TDR (Rob Rogers) 20170904H2 TDR (Jon Zawislak) 20170905H1 TDR (Rob Rogers) 20170905H2 TDR (Jon Zawislak) 20170908H1 TDR (Jon Zawislak) 20170908H2 …

HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricane Harvey – 1 September 2017

HRD researchers discussed the results from the four P-3, four G-IV, and one Global Hawk mission into Hurricane Harvey (23-25 August 2017). The agenda for the discussion was: Missions Overview (Paul Reasor) Science Discussions 20170824H1 TDR (Robert Rogers) 20170824H2 TDR (Jon Zawislak) 20170825H1 TDR (Robert Rogers) 20170825H2 TDR/OceanWinds (Jon Zawislak) Additional Field Program Issues HWRF …

Wheels up for NOAA’s Hurricane Hunter P3 aircraft and headed to fly into Harvey

NOAA42 continues to gather critical data as it flies into Harvey. The aircraft took off from the Lakeland Linder Regional Airport, Lakeland, FL around 10 PM (0200 UTC) for a nearly eight-hour mission. NOAA's Environmental Modeling Center is using this data for our forecast models to improve the prediction of the track and intensity of Harvey. …