Frank Marks presents seminar on a new model to predict rainfall in tropical cyclones to NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center

Abstract: Heavy precipitation is a major hazard in landfalling tropical cyclones (TCs). Historically, heavy rainfall has caused freshwater floods and mudslides during TC landfalls, accounting for 27% of deaths, and devastating property. Hence, improving current TC rainfall forecasts is indispensable. A new TC rainfall model is described that provides five-day probabilistic forecasts of extreme rainfall … Continue reading Frank Marks presents seminar on a new model to predict rainfall in tropical cyclones to NOAA’s Weather Prediction Center

HRD scientists participate in the 34th American Meteorological Society Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

34th Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology Virtual Meeting The 34th AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology was held virtually 10-14 May after being postponed from 2020. This is the premiere meeting for operational and research scientists who work on understanding and forecasting tropical cyclones and other tropical weather around the world. HRD scientist … Continue reading HRD scientists participate in the 34th American Meteorological Society Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology

Paper that reviews what we know about intensity change published in Atmosphere

This paper is an overview of what we currently know about processes important in tropical cyclone intensity change and the research that has been done during the past 15 years using aircraft data. The paper describes the eye and eyewall and how they change in time, the region close to the ocean surface where the … Continue reading Paper that reviews what we know about intensity change published in Atmosphere

AOML holds virtual open house

AOML recently hosted a series of webinars about what AOML does and how it contributes to scientific advancement across the globe. You can catch Jon Zawislak, Rob Rogers, Joe Cione, and Shirley Murillo talking about hurricanes, or listen in on recordings of panels on coasts and coral reefs, and ocean research, and even a panel … Continue reading AOML holds virtual open house

NOAA Hurricane Hunters set eyes on Tropical Depression Eta

The Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) tasked NOAA's P-3 aircraft to investigate Tropical Depression Eta as the circulation slowly propagates back into the western Caribbean.  The P-3 took off from Lakeland, Florida at 1 PM EDT on November 6 for its 8-hour-long mission into the system. AOML scientists both onboard the aircraft and remotely will process measurements to … Continue reading NOAA Hurricane Hunters set eyes on Tropical Depression Eta

AOML scientists follow Hurricane Teddy up to Canada

GOES-16 visible imagery with 89-GHz microwave imagery overlaid on top. Credit: Naval Research Laboratory NOAA's Hurricane Hunters will continue reconnaissance for Hurricane Teddy on September 22 after one P-3 aircraft relocates from St. Croix to Norfolk, VA on Monday, September 21. This mission is at the request of the National Hurricane Center (NHC) to track … Continue reading AOML scientists follow Hurricane Teddy up to Canada

Learn about hurricane dynamics and physics research at AOML

Image of the sea surface from the NOAA Hurricane Hunter P3 aircraft. The destructive potential of a hurricane is governed by its interaction with the environment and physical processes internal to the storm. Researchers at AOML use a variety of tools to better understand how phenomena from the larger environmental scale down to the cloud … Continue reading Learn about hurricane dynamics and physics research at AOML

Hurricane scientists at AOML provide support for missions into Hurricane Isaias

NOAA’s P-3 aircraft named “Miss Piggy” will continue Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) tasked reconnaissance into Hurricane Isaias by penetrating the core of its circulation multiple times in order to obtain the most reliable measurements of its environmental conditions. The aircraft took off from Lakeland, FL today at 4:00 PM.   AOML scientists acquire and process data … Continue reading Hurricane scientists at AOML provide support for missions into Hurricane Isaias

NOAA Hurricane Model Performance is Evaluated for the First Time in Predicting Rainfall from 2017 Hurricane Harvey

On Posted onJuly 1, 2020 by AOML Communications to Hurricane Research A recent study published in the journal Atmosphere evaluated for the first time, how well NOAA’s regional hurricane model was able to forecast the location and amount of devastating rainfall in 2017’s Hurricane Harvey. The Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model predicted the realistic total rainfall and the location of … Continue reading NOAA Hurricane Model Performance is Evaluated for the First Time in Predicting Rainfall from 2017 Hurricane Harvey