Modeling Michael: Using NOAA’s HFV3 to predict rapid intensification of Hurricane Michael

Reposted from https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/news/modeling-michael/ In a recently published study, AOML hurricane researchers used multiple computer model forecasts to gain a better understanding of how Hurricane Michael rapidly intensified to 162 mph before making landfall in the panhandle of Florida. Hurricane Michael is an interesting  case as it intensified despite strong upper-level wind shear, which usually weakens … Continue reading Modeling Michael: Using NOAA’s HFV3 to predict rapid intensification of Hurricane Michael

Paper on how Hurricane Michael (2018) intensified rapidly in the Gulf of Mexico released online in Monthly Weather Review

Weather forecasters use computer models to make predictions. These forecasts of the future depend on knowing what is happening now, what we call initial conditions. However, we can't measure the weather at every location on earth all the time, so we don't know exactly what these initial conditions are. Therefore, we run forecast models many … Continue reading Paper on how Hurricane Michael (2018) intensified rapidly in the Gulf of Mexico released online in Monthly Weather Review

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of March 2020

March’s science meeting consisted of four presentations: Lakemariam Worku: Diurnal Cycle of Rainfall and Convection over the Maritime Continent (the MC) Using TMPA and ISCCP Kathryn Sellwood: Calculating Shear from Dropsondes Michael Fischer: Tropical Cyclone Radar Archive of Dual-Doppler Analyses with Recentering (TC-RADAR) John Kaplan: Preliminary analysis of the impact of wind structure and eye predictors … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of March 2020

HRD Debrief for missions into EP95/Pre-Ivo in collaboration with OTREC – 3 March 2020

HRD researchers and our collaborators from the NSF-sponsored Organization of Tropical Eastern Pacific Convection (OTREC) experiment discussed the results from the 4 P-3 and 3 NCAR G-V HIAPER missions into EP95 which eventually became Hurricane Ivo in the Eastern Pacific. IFEX flew 4 P-3 missions from Liberia, Costa Rica into the disturbance that became Ivo, … Continue reading HRD Debrief for missions into EP95/Pre-Ivo in collaboration with OTREC – 3 March 2020

HRD Seminar – Dr. Altug Aksoy (CIMAS/HRD) – 3 March 2020

Dr. Aksoy presented a seminar titled “Assimilation of Coyote UAS Observations in Hurricane Maria (2017): Optimization of Data Impact”. ABSTRACT The Coyote is a low-altitude small unmanned aircraft system (sUAS) that is air-launched from the NOAA WP-3D (P-3) hurricane hunter aircraft through its existing standard A-size sonobuoy launch capability. Its meteorological sensors directly measure temperature, … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Dr. Altug Aksoy (CIMAS/HRD) – 3 March 2020

HRD Debrief for missions into 2019 Sheared Storms – 18 February 2020

HRD researchers discussed the results from the 14 P-3 and 8 G-IV missions into sheared Hurricanes Barry, AL02 (10–12 July 2019), Humberto, AL09 (13–16 September 2019 ), Jerry, AL10 (18–22 September 2019), and Lorenzo, AL13 (26 – 29 September 2019). The format of the debrief was different than in the past. A brief overview is … Continue reading HRD Debrief for missions into 2019 Sheared Storms – 18 February 2020

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of February 2020

February’s science meeting consisted of seven presentations: Kyle Ahern: Simulated Boundary Layer Structure in Hurricane Earl (2010) After Peak Intensity Udai Shimada: Self-Introduction and Research Plans at HRD Levi Cowan: Comparison of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Interactions with Upper Tropospheric Jets During Intensification and Weakening Sim Aberson: Multiple vortices as seen in Tropical Cyclone Rina on … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of February 2020

HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricane Dorian – 30 January 2020

HRD researchers discussed the results from the 15 P-3 and 10 G-IV missions into Hurricane Dorian, AL05 (26 August - 5 September 2019). The format of the debrief was different than in the past. A brief overview is provided of the storm and missions, followed by a series of 8 short presentations discussing planned and … Continue reading HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricane Dorian – 30 January 2020