Paper on how Hurricane Michael (2018) intensified rapidly in the Gulf of Mexico released online in Monthly Weather Review

Weather forecasters use computer models to make predictions. These forecasts of the future depend on knowing what is happening now, what we call initial conditions. However, we can't measure the weather at every location on earth all the time, so we don't know exactly what these initial conditions are. Therefore, we run forecast models many … Continue reading Paper on how Hurricane Michael (2018) intensified rapidly in the Gulf of Mexico released online in Monthly Weather Review

Paper evaluating different schemes to predict convection in hurricanes released online in Weather and Forecasting

Forecasters and researchers use the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model to forecast where a hurricane will go, how strong it will be, how large it will be, and where the strongest winds are. Hurricanes are made up of thunderstorms (what we call convection), but individual thunderstorms are too small for the models we … Continue reading Paper evaluating different schemes to predict convection in hurricanes released online in Weather and Forecasting

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of February 2020

February’s science meeting consisted of seven presentations: Kyle Ahern: Simulated Boundary Layer Structure in Hurricane Earl (2010) After Peak Intensity Udai Shimada: Self-Introduction and Research Plans at HRD Levi Cowan: Comparison of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Interactions with Upper Tropospheric Jets During Intensification and Weakening Sim Aberson: Multiple vortices as seen in Tropical Cyclone Rina on … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of February 2020

Paper on daily changes in hurricanes published in Geophysical Research Letters

Summary: The very tall clouds that we see in satellite pictures of tropical cyclones (also known as hurricanes) fan out from the hurricane's center over the course of each day, what we call a diurnal cycle. This is because a pulse of thunderstorms and rain forms near the hurricane center each night and steadily moves … Continue reading Paper on daily changes in hurricanes published in Geophysical Research Letters