Paper on consumer stockpiling affects the supply of emergency supplies during and after a hurricane released online in Production and Operations Management

The main purpose of this research is to determine how consumer stockpiling (or precautionary buying) behavior, as well as storm and retail characteristics, impact the availability of essential supplies at retailers following a hurricane. You can access the paper at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3309457. For more information, contact Erica Rule, AOML Communications Director, at erica.rule@noaa.gov.

Paper on how the regions closest to the surface changed during the landfall of Hurricane Irene in 2011 released online in The Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

Summary: Objects on land and the land itself cause wind to be weaker at the surface than above due to friction.  In hurricanes, the strongest wind occurs where friction is no longer important, near the top of a region we call the boundary layer.  Some people live close to the surface, but others live in … Continue reading Paper on how the regions closest to the surface changed during the landfall of Hurricane Irene in 2011 released online in The Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

Paper on how Hurricane Michael (2018) intensified rapidly in the Gulf of Mexico released online in Monthly Weather Review

Weather forecasters use computer models to make predictions. These forecasts of the future depend on knowing what is happening now, what we call initial conditions. However, we can't measure the weather at every location on earth all the time, so we don't know exactly what these initial conditions are. Therefore, we run forecast models many … Continue reading Paper on how Hurricane Michael (2018) intensified rapidly in the Gulf of Mexico released online in Monthly Weather Review

Paper evaluating different schemes to predict convection in hurricanes released online in Weather and Forecasting

Forecasters and researchers use the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model to forecast where a hurricane will go, how strong it will be, how large it will be, and where the strongest winds are. Hurricanes are made up of thunderstorms (what we call convection), but individual thunderstorms are too small for the models we … Continue reading Paper evaluating different schemes to predict convection in hurricanes released online in Weather and Forecasting