Tag Archives: John Kaplan

HRD Debrief for missions into Tropical Storm Karl Hermine – 30 September 2016

HRD researchers discussed the results from the 7 P-3, 5 G-IV, and 2 Global Hawk missions into Tropical Storm Karl (20-24 September 2016). The agenda for the discussion was: Slides from the debrief are available at: ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/blog/meetings/2016/HFP/Karl_debrief.pptx

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25th Anniversary of Hurricane Bob

On August 19, 1991, Hurricane Bob brushed the tip of Long Island and came ashore in Rhode Island.  Although only a Category 2 hurricane at that time, Bob managed to rack up a sizable damage bill to become one of … Continue reading

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2016 Hurricane Field Program/Intensity Forecast EXperiment (HFP/IFEX) Planning Meeting

On Wednesday, 8 June 2016, Dr. Robert Rogers led a kick off meeting to discuss our flight experiments and modules that will be part of the 2016 hurricane field campaign. To review the proposed experiments go to the presentation at: … Continue reading

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HRD/NHC CHART Seminar – John Kaplan, AOML/HRD – 16 May 2016

John Kaplan presented a seminar on “Investigating the variability in skill of operational statistical rapid intensification (RI) prediction models” that is available on the NHC science presentation web site. Abstract Despite recent improvements in tropical cyclone (TC) intensity forecasting skill, … Continue reading

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AOML and HRD researchers at 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, San Juan, Puerto Rico – 10-14 April 2016

Twenty-three AOML and HRD scientists participated in the recent 32nd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology in San Juan, PR, as authors or co-authors on 36 presentations and 11 posters. Roughly 650 presentations (452 oral presentations in 70 sessions and … Continue reading

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10th Anniversary of Hurricane Wilma

In the early morning hours of October 24, 2005, Hurricane Wilma came ashore on Florida’s Gulf coast.  The storm had set records and then ravaged the Yucatan Peninsula prior to this final landfall, but it still had plenty of power … Continue reading

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30th Anniversary of Hurricane Gloria

On September 27, 1985, Hurricane Gloria swept over the Outer Banks then rushed across Long Island, New England, and Canada.  It was the first significant hurricane to hit New England in twenty-five years and brought heavy rains and high winds … Continue reading

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10th Anniversary of Hurricane Rita

Early on the morning of September 24, 2005, Major Hurricane Rita came ashore near the Texas/Louisiana border.  In the midst of the very active 2005 hurricane season, Rita caused considerable panic as it approached the coast, with scenes of destruction … Continue reading

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10th Anniversary of Hurricane Katrina

Early on the morning of August 29th, 2005, Hurricane Katrina made landfall on the Louisiana delta region and the Mississippi coast.  The storm surge brought enormous damage to the Gulf Coast and, when the levees around New Orleans failed, a … Continue reading

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Paper on the statistical prediction of hurricane rapid intensification published in Weather and Forecasting

Summary: The paper describes new models to forecast the probability of when tropical cyclones may strengthen rapidly during the next 48 h when the National Hurricane Center issues watches and warnings to the public. The models are expected to be … Continue reading

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Posted in Dynamics and Physics, HFIP-Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project, Modeling and Prediction, Publications | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment