Paper on the impact of new satellite wind velocity data on hurricane forecasts released online in Monthly Weather Review

Summary: The CYclone Global Navigation Satellite System (CYGNSS) was launched into space on December 15, 2016, to improve hurricane (tropical cyclone) forecasts by measuring wind speed on the ocean surface. Since the tropical cyclones mostly occur over oceans where other wind data are usually not available, the new observations can measure their wind speeds. This …

Paper on the impact of dropwindsondes from the Global Hawk on forecasts published in Monthly Weather Review

Summary:  A drone, what we call an unmanned aircraft system, can collect data in tropical cyclones (TCs) to improve forecasts.  Scientists have used the Global Hawk drone that can fly at an altitude of up to 60,000 feet for over 24 hours at a time since 2010. The Global Hawk releases dropwindsondes that measure wind, …

HRD Seminar – Dr. Andrew Hazelton, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ – 29 May 2018

Dr. Hazelton presented a seminar titled “High-Resolution fvGFS Forecasts of Atlantic Tropical Cyclones: Structural Analysis and Evaluation of the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season”. ABSTRACT: As numerical models reach finer horizontal and vertical resolution, evaluation of storm structure is critical to model assessment and improvement.  Structural metrics based on horizontal wind are examined in high-resolution TC forecasts …

AOML and HRD researchers at 33rd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Ponte Vedra, FL – 15-20 April 2018

Thirty-one AOML and HRD scientists participated in the recent 33rd AMS Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology in Ponte Vedra, FL, as authors or co-authors on 65 presentations and 19 posters. Roughly 783 presentations (507 oral presentations in 67 sessions and 276 posters in 2 session) were submitted to the conference. Of the 567 TC-related presentations …

Paper on how small-scale changes in winds in hurricanes impact hurricane forecasts published in Weather and Forecasting

Summary: Forecasters and researchers use the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model to forecast where a hurricane will go, how strong and large it will be, and where the strongest winds will be. Wind in hurricanes are different over very short distances like 100 m, or the length of a football field, what is …

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of April 2018

April’s science meeting consisted of five presentations: Andrew Kren - Impact of Global Hawk dropsonde data assimilated in the NCEP GFS model during SHOUT: Hurricanes Matthew and Nicole in 2016 Hui Christophersen - Impact of Global Hawk Dropsondes on Tropical Cyclone Analyses and Forecasts Sim Aberson -  1-km HEDAS analysis of Hurricane Patricia just after peak …

HRD researchers at 72nd Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference/Tropical Cyclone Research Forum, Miami, FL – 13-15 March 2018

HRD and AOML scientists participated in the 72nd Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference/Tropical Cyclone Operations and Research Forum. HRD  and AOML scientists presented or were coauthors on 8 of the 39 presentations. Jason Sippel chaired the two Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT) sessions, Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan chaired a panel discussion on “Recent and Planned Improvements in Modeling Capability”, and …

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of March 2018

March’s science meeting consisted of four presentations: Josh Wadler, UM/RSMAS: Downdrafts and the Evolution of Boundary Layer Thermodynamics in Hurricane Earl (2010) Before and During Rapid Intensification Ghassan Alaka: Evaluation of Track Spread in Hurricane Joaquin (2015) Heather Holbach: Dropsonde Wind Speed Comparison to SFMR at Coyote Flight Levels Kelly Ryan-Poterjoy: Coyote Thermodynamic Verification using …

NOAA Hurricane Research overview for WMO Region IV Training Workshop, NHC – 26 February 2018

To demonstrate how tropical cyclone research is used to improve forecast guidance HRD researchers Drs. Frank Marks, Robert Rogers, and Jason Sippel presented summaries of “NOAA’s Hurricane Research”, “Aircraft Observations of Tropical Cyclones”, and  "Tropical Cyclone Modeling and Data Assimilation"  to the World Meteorological Organization Regional Association IV Training Workshop held in the National Hurricane …