Paper on the impact of using Hurricane Hunter data in the HWRF model published in Monthly Weather Review

We studied how Hurricane Hunter aircraft observations can improve tropical cyclones forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) model. Important Conclusions: Hurricane Hunter aircraft data generally improve HWRF forecasts. These improved forecasts are mainly in weak storms, since, without the data, HWRF often forecast storms that are too … Continue reading Paper on the impact of using Hurricane Hunter data in the HWRF model published in Monthly Weather Review

Paper on how getting turbulence correct in forecast models can improve intensity forecasts in sheared storms released online in Monthly Weather Review

Summary:  Though tropical cyclones (TCs) are usually hundreds of miles across, the strongest wind occurs in gusts that can be smaller than 100 yards across, or the size of a football field. We call features that cover such a small area the “turbulent scale.” Other features that are important in forecasting TCs can be as … Continue reading Paper on how getting turbulence correct in forecast models can improve intensity forecasts in sheared storms released online in Monthly Weather Review

HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricane Michael – 26 October 2018

HRD researchers discussed the results from the 6 P-3 and 3 G-IV missions into Hurricane Michael, AL14 (8-10 October 2018). The agenda for the discussion was: Agenda: Missions Overview (Jon Zawislak) Deployment Overview (Jon Zawislak) 20181008H1 (Kelly Ryan) 20181009H1 (Rob Rogers) 20181009N2 (Jason Dunion/ John Kaplan) 20181009H2/Coyote (Kelly Ryan) 20181010H1 (Rob Rogers/ Jon Zawislak) EMC … Continue reading HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricane Michael – 26 October 2018

HRD Debrief for missions into Tropical Storm Gordon and Hurricane Isaac – 17 October 2018

HRD researchers discussed the results from the 3 P-3 missions into Tropical Storm Gordon, AL07 (3-4 September 2018) . The agenda for the discussion was: Agenda: Missions Overview (Jon Zawislak) Deployment Overview (Jon Zawislak) 180903H1 (Robert Rogers) 180904H1 (Ghassan Alaka) 180904H2 (Hui Christophersen) HRD researchers also discussed the results from the 5 P-3 missions into … Continue reading HRD Debrief for missions into Tropical Storm Gordon and Hurricane Isaac – 17 October 2018

HRD Seminar – Dr. Jonathan Poterjoy, University of Maryland – 16 October 2018

Dr. Poterjoy presented a seminar titled “Regional Weather Prediction Using an 'Iterative' Local Particle Filter". ABSTRACT: Particle filters (PFs) are sequential Monte Carlo methods that can solve data assimilation problems characterized by non-Gaussian error distributions for prior model variables or measurements. From the perspective of a geoscientist, PFs contain several theoretical properties that make them … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Dr. Jonathan Poterjoy, University of Maryland – 16 October 2018

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of September 2018

September’s science meeting consisted of three presentations: Miguel Cortez (NERTO intern) – The impact of Global Hawk Dropsonde Data Assimilated in Both Global and Regional Forecast Models During Hurricane Harvey Jon Poterjoy (Maryland) - Research Applications for the Basin-Scale HWRF Data Assimilation and Forecasting System Andy Hazelton - FV3 Hurricane Nest (HFV3) Development and Analysis … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of September 2018

HRD Seminar – Saiprasanth Balachandran, Purdue University – 5 September 2018

Mr. Balachandran presented a seminar titled “Spatial, temporal, and spectral characteristics of convective asymmetries driving rapid intensity changes in tropical cyclones”. ABSTRACT: Understanding the role of convective asymmetries in influencing a change in tropical cyclone (TC) intensity is a challenging task. The inherent difficulty is because asymmetries can arise from different sources, occur at different … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Saiprasanth Balachandran, Purdue University – 5 September 2018

HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricane Lane – 30 August 2018

HRD researchers discussed the results from the 4 G-IV and 4 P-3 missions into Central Pacific Hurricane Lane (19-23 August 2018) representing the first NOAA P-3 mission to fly a Central Pacific storm. The agenda for the discussion was: Agenda: Storm Overview (Jon Zawislak) Missions Overview (Jon Zawislak) Deployment Overview (Jon Zawislak) CPHC Feedback (Tom Birchard, … Continue reading HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricane Lane – 30 August 2018