HRD researchers at 72nd Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference/Tropical Cyclone Research Forum, Miami, FL – 13-15 March 2018

HRD and AOML scientists participated in the 72nd Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference/Tropical Cyclone Operations and Research Forum. HRD  and AOML scientists presented or were coauthors on 8 of the 39 presentations. Jason Sippel chaired the two Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT) sessions, Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan chaired a panel discussion on “Recent and Planned Improvements in Modeling Capability”, and …

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of March 2018

March’s science meeting consisted of four presentations: Josh Wadler, UM/RSMAS: Downdrafts and the Evolution of Boundary Layer Thermodynamics in Hurricane Earl (2010) Before and During Rapid Intensification Ghassan Alaka: Evaluation of Track Spread in Hurricane Joaquin (2015) Heather Holbach: Dropsonde Wind Speed Comparison to SFMR at Coyote Flight Levels Kelly Ryan-Poterjoy: Coyote Thermodynamic Verification using …

NOAA Hurricane Research overview for WMO Region IV Training Workshop, NHC – 26 February 2018

To demonstrate how tropical cyclone research is used to improve forecast guidance HRD researchers Drs. Frank Marks, Robert Rogers, and Jason Sippel presented summaries of “NOAA’s Hurricane Research”, “Aircraft Observations of Tropical Cyclones”, and  "Tropical Cyclone Modeling and Data Assimilation"  to the World Meteorological Organization Regional Association IV Training Workshop held in the National Hurricane …

HRD & AOML researchers at 98th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Austin, TX – 7-11 January 2018

Abstracts and recordings of  the 27 presentations and 9 posters AOML & HRD researchers presented (or were co-authors) at the 98th AMS Annual Meeting are available online from the AMS website: Presentations: Karina Apodaca, M. Zupanski, L. Cucurull, and M. Hu - Implementation of the GOES-16 GLM Lightning Assimilation into the NCEP/GSI System for Improved …

Paper on how small-scale changes in winds in hurricanes impact hurricane forecasts released online in Weather and Forecasting

Summary: Forecasters and researchers use the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model to forecast where a hurricane will go, how strong and large it will be, and where the strongest winds will be. Wind in hurricanes are different over very short distances like 100 m, or the length of a football field, what is …

Paper on the difference between rapidly intensifying storms and those that don’t intensify as fast published in Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

Summary: The main model that forecasters use to predict what a hurricane will do is the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) model. Because we cannot measure what is currently happening in the hurricane exactly, we run the model many times at once with different measurements to get an idea of the different forecasts that …

HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricanes Irma, Jose, and Maria – Part 2 – 19 October 2017

HRD researchers discussed the results from the 17 P-3, 13 G-IV, and 51 AF WC-130 missions into Hurricanes Irma, Jose, and Maria (3-8 September 2017). The agenda for the discussion was: HRD/AOML support for EMC operations (Paul Reasor) TDR-related issues, resolved and continuing (John Gamache) Data impacts on HWRF forecasts (Jason Sippel) Open discussion of …

HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricane Harvey – 1 September 2017

HRD researchers discussed the results from the four P-3, four G-IV, and one Global Hawk mission into Hurricane Harvey (23-25 August 2017). The agenda for the discussion was: Missions Overview (Paul Reasor) Science Discussions 20170824H1 TDR (Robert Rogers) 20170824H2 TDR (Jon Zawislak) 20170825H1 TDR (Robert Rogers) 20170825H2 TDR/OceanWinds (Jon Zawislak) Additional Field Program Issues HWRF …