Read about it at http://tcrr.typhoon.gov.cn/EN/10.6057/2018TCRR04.01#.
December’s science meeting consisted of seven presentations: Dave Raymond: "The Organization of Tropical East Pacific Convection (OTREC) Field Campaign" Xuejin Zhang: "Development of Hurricane Analysis and Forecasting System" Rob Rogers: "Summary of the 2018 HFP-IFEX" Dr. Chris Barnett: "Overview of JPSS Atlantic/SAL Field Campaign Activities" Gus Alaka: "Verification of the 2018 Basin-Scale HWRF" Michael Fischer: … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of December 2018
Read the latest issue at http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/keynotes/PDF-Files/Sept-Oct2018.pdf
We studied how Hurricane Hunter aircraft observations can improve tropical cyclones forecasts from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) model. Important Conclusions: Hurricane Hunter aircraft data generally improve HWRF forecasts. These improved forecasts are mainly in weak storms, since, without the data, HWRF often forecast storms that are too … Continue reading Paper on the impact of using Hurricane Hunter data in the HWRF model published in Monthly Weather Review
Summary: Though tropical cyclones (TCs) are usually hundreds of miles across, the strongest wind occurs in gusts that can be smaller than 100 yards across, or the size of a football field. We call features that cover such a small area the “turbulent scale.” Other features that are important in forecasting TCs can be as … Continue reading Paper on how getting turbulence correct in forecast models can improve intensity forecasts in sheared storms published in Monthly Weather Review
HRD researchers discussed the results from the 6 P-3 and 3 G-IV missions into Hurricane Michael, AL14 (8-10 October 2018). The agenda for the discussion was: Agenda: Missions Overview (Jon Zawislak) Deployment Overview (Jon Zawislak) 20181008H1 (Kelly Ryan) 20181009H1 (Rob Rogers) 20181009N2 (Jason Dunion/ John Kaplan) 20181009H2/Coyote (Kelly Ryan) 20181010H1 (Rob Rogers/ Jon Zawislak) EMC … Continue reading HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricane Michael – 26 October 2018
HRD researchers discussed the results from the 3 P-3 missions into Tropical Storm Gordon, AL07 (3-4 September 2018) . The agenda for the discussion was: Agenda: Missions Overview (Jon Zawislak) Deployment Overview (Jon Zawislak) 180903H1 (Robert Rogers) 180904H1 (Ghassan Alaka) 180904H2 (Hui Christophersen) HRD researchers also discussed the results from the 5 P-3 missions into … Continue reading HRD Debrief for missions into Tropical Storm Gordon and Hurricane Isaac – 17 October 2018
Dr. Poterjoy presented a seminar titled “Regional Weather Prediction Using an 'Iterative' Local Particle Filter". ABSTRACT: Particle filters (PFs) are sequential Monte Carlo methods that can solve data assimilation problems characterized by non-Gaussian error distributions for prior model variables or measurements. From the perspective of a geoscientist, PFs contain several theoretical properties that make them … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Dr. Jonathan Poterjoy, University of Maryland – 16 October 2018
Also, hurricane seasonal forecasts and summer interns at AOML. Read about these topics and more at http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/keynotes/PDF-Files/July-Aug2018.pdf.
September’s science meeting consisted of three presentations: Miguel Cortez (NERTO intern) – The impact of Global Hawk Dropsonde Data Assimilated in Both Global and Regional Forecast Models During Hurricane Harvey Jon Poterjoy (Maryland) - Research Applications for the Basin-Scale HWRF Data Assimilation and Forecasting System Andy Hazelton - FV3 Hurricane Nest (HFV3) Development and Analysis … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of September 2018