On Posted onJuly 1, 2020 by AOML Communications to Hurricane Research A recent study published in the journal Atmosphere evaluated for the first time, how well NOAA’s regional hurricane model was able to forecast the location and amount of devastating rainfall in 2017’s Hurricane Harvey. The Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model predicted the realistic total rainfall and the location of … Continue reading NOAA Hurricane Model Performance is Evaluated for the First Time in Predicting Rainfall from 2017 Hurricane Harvey
Hurricane Harvey brought up to 5 feet of rainfall to Texas and Louisiana in just a few days in 2017. The strongest rainfall typically happens near the center (eye) of a hurricane. Hurricane Harvey’s rainfall was unusually located far away from the eye. These unusual events make it difficult for forecast models to correctly predict … Continue reading Paper on the ability of forecast models to predict the extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey (2017) released Atmosphere
You can see the paper at https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1029/2019JD031647.
Addison presented a seminar titled "Radar Observations of Landfalling Hurricanes: Synthesizing Three Years of SMART Radar Missions" ABSTRACT: The Shared Mobile Atmospheric Research and Teaching radars observed five landfalling tropical cyclones (TCs) from 2016-2018. The observations were largely targeted toward understanding asymmetric convective and dynamic processes. Such processes are thought to lead to the intensification … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Addison Alford, University of Oklahoma – 17 June 2019
February’s science meeting consisted of four presentations: Paul Reasor - "Estimating Wind Radii from Tail Doppler Radar" John Kaplan - "Gust Factor Distributions in Hurricanes Harvey and Irma, a Preliminary Analysis Michael Fischer - "Characteristics of Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Events in Environments of Upper-Tropospheric Troughs" Xiaomin Chen - "Structural Changes Leading to Rapid Intensification … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of February 2019
At the recent American Meteorological Society Conference on Hurricanes and Tropical Meteorology, Jason presented his work with co-authors Chris Thorncroft, Chris Velden, and Brian McNoldy about the diurnal cycle of convection in hurricanes. This cycle is a dramatic outward expansion of clouds that begins moving away from the storm center each day around sunset and … Continue reading Jason Dunion’s presentation at the most recent AMS Hurricane Conference highlighted in the December 2018 issue of the AMS Bulletin
Also, hurricane seasonal forecasts and summer interns at AOML. Read about these topics and more at http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/keynotes/PDF-Files/July-Aug2018.pdf.
September’s science meeting consisted of three presentations: Miguel Cortez (NERTO intern) – The impact of Global Hawk Dropsonde Data Assimilated in Both Global and Regional Forecast Models During Hurricane Harvey Jon Poterjoy (Maryland) - Research Applications for the Basin-Scale HWRF Data Assimilation and Forecasting System Andy Hazelton - FV3 Hurricane Nest (HFV3) Development and Analysis … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of September 2018
Mr. Ramstrom presented a seminar titled "Damage Rates from Insurance Claims for Coastal and Inland Areas in Hurricanes Harvey and Irma". ABSTRACT: Insurance claims data provides a highly detailed view of the geographic patterns of damage in hurricanes. This talk will cover analytics that correlate claims percentages with maximum winds and rainfall during the landfalls … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Bill Ramstrom, Verisk Weather Solutions – 6 August 2018
Dr. Hazelton presented a seminar titled “High-Resolution fvGFS Forecasts of Atlantic Tropical Cyclones: Structural Analysis and Evaluation of the 2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season”. ABSTRACT: As numerical models reach finer horizontal and vertical resolution, evaluation of storm structure is critical to model assessment and improvement. Structural metrics based on horizontal wind are examined in high-resolution TC forecasts … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Dr. Andrew Hazelton, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ – 29 May 2018