Learn about the new William M. Lapenta Laboratory for the Hurricane and Ocean Testbed, the new Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System, the impact of Uncrewed Aerial Systems on hurricane forecasts, and more... The newsletter is available here.
This study uses a state-of-the-art hurricane modeling system developed at the NOAA/Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory’s Hurricane Research Division, the Basin-Scale Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF-B) model, to demonstrate a link between an oceanographic process called coastal downwelling and the intensification of tropical cyclones (TCs or hurricanes) near landfall. We show that coastal downwelling … Continue reading New study on how changes in ocean temperature near the coast during landfall can intensify hurricanes released online in Geophysical Research Letters
Forecast models that follow individual tropical cyclones (TCs), like NOAA’s Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model, have contributed to significant improvement of intensity forecasts for over a decade. The original HWRF could only follow one TC, but recent advances allow individual multiple nests to follow more than one TC. This is the first time that the … Continue reading Paper describing a new forecast model that follows multiple tropical cyclones at the same time highlighted on the cover of the latest Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Recap of the 2021 hurricane season, recent research results on wind shear direction and intensity change, Saildrones, and other news on HRD employees. Check it out here. For more information, contact firstname.lastname@example.org.
Dr. Hazelton presented a seminar titled “Examining Hurricane Dorian's Early Intensification and Long-term Track Evolution Through an Ensemble of the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System”. ABSTRACT: Hurricane Dorian (2019) was one of the strongest hurricanes on record in the Atlantic basin, and caused significant devastation across the northern Bahamas as it stalled out as a … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Dr. Andrew Hazelton (CIMAS/HRD) – 9 February 2022
The American Geophysical Union is holding their annual Fall Meeting 13-17 December in New Orleans, and also online. Every year, the Fall Meeting unites >25,000 attendees from 100+ countries in the Earth and space sciences community to discuss findings, connect scientists from around the world, advance the profession and connect over passion for the impact … Continue reading HRD scientists participate in the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2021
We tested two developmental versions of a new forecast model for tropical cyclones being developed by NOAA. Track forecasts from the AOML version were better than NOAA’s current operational models, and intensity forecasts showed promise as well. In particular, the models correctly predicted rapid intensification (when a tropical cyclone’s maximum sustained wind speed increases by … Continue reading Paper on NOAA’s new hurricane forecast models published in Weather and Forecasting
Ocean Drone Sails into Category-4 Hurricane Sam, Scientists Sample Multiple Storms as Tropics Enter Peak for Hurricane Formation, HRD awards and recognitions, and more! Check it out at https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/wp-content/uploads/2021/11/Jul-Sep-2021-AOML-Keynotes-Newsletter.pdf.
Forecast models that follow individual tropical cyclones (TCs), like NOAA’s Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model, have contributed to significant improvement of intensity forecasts for over a decade. The original HWRF could only follow one TC, but recent advances allow individual multiple nests to follow more than one TC. This is the first time … Continue reading Paper describing a new forecast model that follows multiple tropical cyclones at the same time published in The Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society