Paper on how getting turbulence correct in forecast models can improve intensity forecasts in sheared storms released online in Monthly Weather Review

Summary:  Though tropical cyclones (TCs) are usually hundreds of miles across, the strongest wind occurs in gusts that can be smaller than 100 yards across, or the size of a football field. We call features that cover such a small area the “turbulent scale.” Other features that are important in forecasting TCs can be as … Continue reading Paper on how getting turbulence correct in forecast models can improve intensity forecasts in sheared storms released online in Monthly Weather Review

HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricane Michael – 26 October 2018

HRD researchers discussed the results from the 6 P-3 and 3 G-IV missions into Hurricane Michael, AL14 (8-10 October 2018). The agenda for the discussion was: Agenda: Missions Overview (Jon Zawislak) Deployment Overview (Jon Zawislak) 20181008H1 (Kelly Ryan) 20181009H1 (Rob Rogers) 20181009N2 (Jason Dunion/ John Kaplan) 20181009H2/Coyote (Kelly Ryan) 20181010H1 (Rob Rogers/ Jon Zawislak) EMC … Continue reading HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricane Michael – 26 October 2018

HRD Seminar – Dr. Karina Apodaca, CSU/CIRA and AOML/HRD – 24 October 2018

Dr. Apodaca presented a seminar titled “Advances in new data assimilation methodologies and observations for the benefit of NOAA operations". ABSTRACT: In an effort to advance the operational weather forecasting enterprise a vital objective is having the ability to accurately predict severe weather. Integrating new methodologies to enhance data assimilation systems and incorporating new and … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Dr. Karina Apodaca, CSU/CIRA and AOML/HRD – 24 October 2018

HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricane Florence, EP96 Genesis, and G-IV SAL Mission – 22 October 2018

HRD researchers discussed the results from the 3 P-3 and 9 G-IV missions into Hurricane Florence, AL06 (8-13 September 2018). The agenda for the discussion was: Agenda: Missions Overview (Jon Zawislak) Deployment Overview 20180908H1 (Jon Zawislak) 20180909H1 (Jon Zawislak) 20180910H1 (Jon Zawislak) NESDIS / Ocean Winds (Joe Sapp NESDIS) HRD researchers also discussed the results … Continue reading HRD Debrief for missions into Hurricane Florence, EP96 Genesis, and G-IV SAL Mission – 22 October 2018

HRD Debrief for missions into Tropical Storm Gordon and Hurricane Isaac – 17 October 2018

HRD researchers discussed the results from the 3 P-3 missions into Tropical Storm Gordon, AL07 (3-4 September 2018) . The agenda for the discussion was: Agenda: Missions Overview (Jon Zawislak) Deployment Overview (Jon Zawislak) 180903H1 (Robert Rogers) 180904H1 (Ghassan Alaka) 180904H2 (Hui Christophersen) HRD researchers also discussed the results from the 5 P-3 missions into … Continue reading HRD Debrief for missions into Tropical Storm Gordon and Hurricane Isaac – 17 October 2018

HRD Seminar – Saiprasanth Balachandran, Purdue University – 5 September 2018

Mr. Balachandran presented a seminar titled “Spatial, temporal, and spectral characteristics of convective asymmetries driving rapid intensity changes in tropical cyclones”. ABSTRACT: Understanding the role of convective asymmetries in influencing a change in tropical cyclone (TC) intensity is a challenging task. The inherent difficulty is because asymmetries can arise from different sources, occur at different … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Saiprasanth Balachandran, Purdue University – 5 September 2018

HRD Seminar – Kyle Ahern, Florida State University – 4 September 2018

Mr. Ahern presented a seminar titled “Observed and Simulated Boundary Layer Structures in the Hurricane Inner-core During Intensity Change”. ABSTRACT: GPS dropwindsonde data from Atlantic basin aircraft reconnaissance missions (Hock and Franklin 1999) between 1998 and 2015 are gathered to construct composites of the hurricane inner-core boundary layer during modes of intensity change. Sounding information … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Kyle Ahern, Florida State University – 4 September 2018

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of August 2018

August’s science meeting consisted of five presentations: Andrew Kren - HAMSR retrieval assimilation in the GSI system Josh Wadler (UM/RSMAS)- A Characterization of Turbulent Kinetic Energy and its Generation in Idealized Tropical Cyclone Simulations Gus Alaka - The Basin-Scale HWRF: 2018 HFIP Real-Time Demos Miguel Cortez (NERTO intern) – Summer 2018 NERTO update Stan Goldenberg … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of August 2018

HRD Debrief for missions into Tropical Storm Chris – 19 July 2018

HRD researchers discussed the results from the 4 P-3 missions into AL03 Tropical Storm Chris (8-9 July 2018). The agenda for the discussion was: Missions Overview (Jon Zawislak) Mission Summaries 20180708H1 TDR (Kelly Ryan) 20180708H2 TDR (Hui Christophersen) 20180709H1 TDR (Kelly Ryan) 20180709H2 TDR (Gus Alaka) Discussion Slides from the debrief are available at: ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/blog/meetings/2018/HFP/2018HFP_Chris_Debrief.pptx

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of July 2018

July’s science meeting consisted of four presentations: Erin Jones – Simulating Observations of Gravity Waves Radiating from Hurricanes Miguel Cortez - Summer 2018 Nerto Work Plan Sim Aberson – A comparison of track forecasts from NOAA’s GFS and ECMWF’s IFS for Hurricane Irma Jon Zawislak - 2018 NOAA/AOML/HRD Hurricane Field Program Intensity Forecast Experiment (IFEX) … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of July 2018