HRD Monthly Science Meeting of July 2022

July’s science meeting consisted of five presentations: Josh Cossuth (ONR) - "The Geolocated Processing System (GeoIPS) A platform for collaborative development & processing satellite information" Jon Zawislak - "Overview of NASA's 2022 Convective Processes Experiment Cabo Verde (CPEX-CV)" Bruno Rojas (Lapenta Intern) - "Rapid Intensification of Hurricane Dorian Using HEDAS Analyses" Andy Hazelton - "AOML … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of July 2022

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of June 2022

June's  science meeting consisted of seven presentations: Stanley Goldenberg: NOAA’s May Outlook for the 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season: Methodology & Forecast Bachir Annane: A Catastrophe Model for Assessing Wind and Flood Hazard Risk for Florida Kathryn Sellwood: Assimilation of Coyote sUAS Observations Using Operational HWRF in Hurricane Maria William Ramstrom: Moving Nest Implementation for NOAA's … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of June 2022

New study on how landfalling hurricanes can change ocean temperatures near the coast causing the hurricane to intensify published in Geophysical Research Letters

This study uses a state-of-the-art hurricane modeling system developed at the NOAA/Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory’s Hurricane Research Division, the Basin-Scale Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF-B) model, to demonstrate a link between an oceanographic process called coastal downwelling and the intensification of tropical cyclones (TCs or hurricanes) near landfall. We show that coastal downwelling … Continue reading New study on how landfalling hurricanes can change ocean temperatures near the coast causing the hurricane to intensify published in Geophysical Research Letters

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of February 2022

February's science meeting, co-hosted by the National Hurricane Center (NHC), provided an update on developments of the Hurricane and Ocean Testbed (HOT), a new facility at NHC dedicated to facilitating the transition of research and development projects to operations in a physical space. For many years, NHC partnered with NOAA’s Office of Oceanic and Atmospheric Research via … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of February 2022

HRD Seminar – Dr. Andrew Hazelton (CIMAS/HRD) – 9 February 2022

Dr. Hazelton presented a seminar titled “Examining Hurricane Dorian's Early Intensification and Long-term Track Evolution Through an Ensemble of the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System”. ABSTRACT: Hurricane Dorian (2019) was one of the strongest hurricanes on record in the Atlantic basin, and caused significant devastation across the northern Bahamas as it stalled out as a … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Dr. Andrew Hazelton (CIMAS/HRD) – 9 February 2022

Study on improvements to NOAA’s hurricane forecast model and the way it predicts the region closest to the surface published in Weather and Forecasting

We modified the way NOAA’s new hurricane model forecasts what happens in the lowest part of the atmosphere based on observations from Hurricane Hunter research flights. The new scheme produced track forecasts that were up to 20% better than from the older scheme, a 15% improvement in detection of rapid intensification events, and smaller tropical … Continue reading Study on improvements to NOAA’s hurricane forecast model and the way it predicts the region closest to the surface published in Weather and Forecasting

HRD scientists participate in the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2021

The American Geophysical Union is holding their annual Fall Meeting 13-17 December in New Orleans, and also online. Every year, the Fall Meeting unites >25,000 attendees from 100+ countries in the Earth and space sciences community to discuss findings, connect scientists from around the world, advance the profession and connect over passion for the impact … Continue reading HRD scientists participate in the American Geophysical Union Fall Meeting 2021

Paper on NOAA’s new hurricane forecast models published in Weather and Forecasting

We tested two developmental versions of a new forecast model for tropical cyclones being developed by NOAA. Track forecasts from the AOML version were better than NOAA’s current operational models, and intensity forecasts showed promise as well. In particular, the models correctly predicted rapid intensification (when a tropical cyclone’s maximum sustained wind speed increases by … Continue reading Paper on NOAA’s new hurricane forecast models published in Weather and Forecasting