Summary: We look at why Hurricane Dorian was able to intensify in the Eastern Caribbean when many forecasts suggested that it would stay weak and perhaps die out. To help answer this question, we use a forecast model called the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS). Specifically, we use an ensemble, a group of forecasts … Continue reading Study on the rapid intensification of Hurricane Dorian near the Eastern Caribbean published in Atmosphere
AOML held a virtual awards ceremony on 18 December. Here is a list of award winners from HRD. Congratulations to everyone!
Dust layer associated with the Saharan Air Layer. Photo taken from the NOAA G-IV northeast of Barbados during a Saharan Air Layer Experiment mission into Hurricane Helene on Sep 16, 2006. Small cumulus clouds can be seen poking through the tops of the dust layer, which is seen as a milky white haze. Photo credit: … Continue reading Paper on the relationship between African dust and hurricane activity published in Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) held its 7th Workshop on the Impact of Various Observing Systems on NWP. The purpose of the workshop was to guide the design and evolution of components of the WMO Integrated Global Observing System for Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP). This extends from the short-range (1-2 days) to climate forecasts. The … Continue reading Lidia Cucurull participates in WMO’s 7th Workshop on the Impact of Various Observing Systems on NWP
The crews of the NOAA P3 hurricane hunter was awarded a Department of Commerce Gold Medal for courage, dedication, and heroism during the search and rescue efforts for the marine vessel Bourbon Rhode and crew on 27 and 28 September 2019. All female science crew aboard NOAA43, pictured before the research flight was diverted to provide Bourbon Rhode SAR … Continue reading NOAA P3 Hurricane Hunter Air Crew receives 2020 Department of Commerce Gold Medal for search and rescue during Hurricane Lorenzo
The 2020 HFIP Annual Meeting was held virtually from 17-19 November. The primary objective of the meeting was to discuss the key HFIP strategies as documented in the HFIP Strategic plan, including development of the next-generation Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) within NOAA's Unified Forecast System. The current state of operational hurricane modeling capabilities … Continue reading HRD Scientists participate in 2020 Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project Annual Meeting
HIWeather is a World Meteorological Organisation research project, developing warning capabilities for weather-related hazards, to increase resilience worldwide. HIWeather participants form an international network of scientists, in a wide variety of disciplines, all concerned with aspects of the production and communication of weather-related warnings. The workshop is aimed at anyone interested in improving weather-related warnings, … Continue reading Rob Rogers participates in the 2020 HIWeather Workshop
Improved forecasts, extensive preparedness helped protect lives and property From https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/record-breaking-atlantic-hurricane-season-draws-to-end. The extremely active 2020 Atlantic hurricane season is drawing to a close with a record-breaking 30 named storms and 12 landfalling storms in the continental United States. While the official hurricane season concludes on November 30, tropical storms may continue to develop past that … Continue reading Record-breaking Atlantic hurricane season draws to an end