Read the entire article at http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1002/2016JC012399/full.
Category Archives: Modeling and Prediction
Improvements to the NOAA regional hurricane modeling system – HWRF
On 14 July, 1997, Tropical Storm Claudette was moving northeastward offshore the east coast of the US. Eager to test the new Gulfstream-IV (G-IV) jet aircraft and the new Global Positioning System dropwindsonde, the National Hurricane Center tasked the first-ever operational synoptic surveillance mission geared toward improving track forecasts. Initial condition differences in the […]
Dr. Brammer presented a seminar titled “Tropical Cyclogenesis from African Easterly Waves: Observations and Predictability”. A recording of the presentation is available on the anonymous ftp site: ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/pub/hrd/blog/seminars/2017/Brammer_HRD_Seminar_20170718.mp4
Intensity Forecast Experiment (IFEX) Program Director Paul Reasor and HRD Director Frank Marks briefed the Aircraft Operations Center (AOC) personnel at their brand new facility at Lakeland Linder Regional Airport on IFEX plans for 2017 and Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project progress, respectively. The two presentations are available in a .zip archive on the anonymous ftp […]
These two papers analyze extreme upward air currents, called “convective bursts,” in hurricanes that have been believed to be important for hurricane intensification. We use the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model to look at convective bursts in two hurricanes: Hurricane Dean from 2007 and Hurricane Bill from 2009. In the first paper, we study […]
July’s science meeting consisted of 6 presentations: Steve Guimond (NASA) – “Reviving the Imaging Wind and Rain Airborne Profiler (IWRAP) for Hurricane Research: A Case Study of Hurricane Rita (2005)” Mu-Chieh (Laura) Ko – “Preliminary Review – HWRF-B 2016 Retrospective Dataset” Robert Rogers – “The Challenge of Intensity Forecasting in Moderate Shear” Emily Paltz (Hollings […]
June’s science meeting consisted of 7 presentations: Brad Klotz – “Guidance on Observational Undersampling over the Tropical Cyclone Lifecycle” Pete Black – “Coordinating the the Global Hawk (NASA, NOAA, EPOCH) with the HRD AIPEX module (HFP)” Jon Zawislak and Heather Holbach – “Data Display, Archival, and Legacy (DDAL)” Leon Nguyen – “Science Motivation for Analysis […]
In the morning hours of June 27, 1957, Hurricane Audrey sent a 12-foot (3.7-m) storm surge over Cameron, Louisiana, as the storm lashed the area with 125 mph (205 km/hr) winds. Many residents were caught by surprise and had not evacuated, and the storm took some 400 lives. Audrey was an unusual June storm. It […]
You can access the article at https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s10546-017-0266-x
The Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model (HWRF) has become an important tool for both hurricane forecasters and researchers. The current HWRF has three domains around only one tropical cyclone. Its inner domain makes forecasts on a grid with points 2 km apart and follows the tropical cyclone during the forecast. During hurricane season in […]
