HRD & AOML researchers at 98th American Meteorological Society Annual Meeting, Austin, TX – 7-11 January 2018

Abstracts and recordings of  the 27 presentations and 9 posters AOML & HRD researchers presented (or were co-authors) at the 98th AMS Annual Meeting are available online from the AMS website: Presentations: Karina Apodaca, M. Zupanski, L. Cucurull, and M. Hu - Implementation of the GOES-16 GLM Lightning Assimilation into the NCEP/GSI System for Improved …

HRD Seminar – Dr. Sean PF Casey, CIMAS and AOML/HRD – 15 February 2018

Dr. Casey presented a seminar titled "Geostationary Hyper-Spectral Sounder (Geo-HSS) Constellation:  A Global Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) Assessment". Abstract Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs) can provide quantitative assessments of potential impacts of new observation sources, without the instrument actually being built in some cases. This presentation describes the set-up of global-scale OSSEs, from the …

HRD Seminar – Scott B. Sieron, Pennsylvania State University – 12 February 2018

Scott presented a seminar titled  “Mesoscale tropical cyclone model EnKF data assimilation of all-sky satellite radiances: advancing from IR to microwave”. Abstract Development with the WRF tropical cyclone configuration and EnKF data assimilation system at Penn State is ongoing towards supporting the direct assimilation of top-of-atmosphere microwave emission observations in all sky conditions. These observations relate …

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of February 2018

February’s science meeting consisted of three presentations: Rob Rogers: The relationship between tropical cyclone structure and intensification in moderate vertical shear Jon Zawislak: 2018 NOAA/AOML/HRD Hurricane Field Program Intensity Forecast Experiment (IFEX): Overview of Experiment Design Pete Black: Emerging Airborne Technologies for improved TC Track and Intensity Forecasting: Preliminary Observations from SHOUT and EPOCH All the …

Paper on how small-scale changes in winds in hurricanes impact hurricane forecasts released online in Weather and Forecasting

Summary: Forecasters and researchers use the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model to forecast where a hurricane will go, how strong and large it will be, and where the strongest winds will be. Wind in hurricanes are different over very short distances like 100 m, or the length of a football field, what is …

Paper on the difference between rapidly intensifying storms and those that don’t intensify as fast published in Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

Summary: The main model that forecasters use to predict what a hurricane will do is the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) model. Because we cannot measure what is currently happening in the hurricane exactly, we run the model many times at once with different measurements to get an idea of the different forecasts that …

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of January 2018

January’s science meeting consisted of three presentations: Jon Zawislak:  Preliminary results on the sources of condensate in the hurricane outflow layer Sim Aberson:  Observations of gravity waves in tropical cyclones Jason Dunion:  Assessing tropical cyclone intensity change in moderate vertical wind shear using dropsondes: thermodynamics of the lower troposphere All the presentations are available on …