Improvements to the NOAA regional hurricane modeling system – HWRF
April’s science meeting consisted of five presentations: Andrew Kren - Impact of Global Hawk dropsonde data assimilated in the NCEP GFS model during SHOUT: Hurricanes Matthew and Nicole in 2016 Hui Christophersen - Impact of Global Hawk Dropsondes on Tropical Cyclone Analyses and Forecasts Sim Aberson - 1-km HEDAS analysis of Hurricane Patricia just after peak …
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Dr. Kepert presented a seminar titled “Bias correction of tropical cyclone size and structure in the ECMWF global ensemble prediction system". ABSTRACT: Global EPS systems provide very valuable warning of severe weather risk, including tropical cyclones. One limitation arises because the spatial resolution of the EPS is necessarily too coarse to capture the fine details …
The Best Student Poster for Mesoscale Meteorology Award at the AMS 33rd Hurricane and Tropical Meteorology Conference was awarded to University of Utah student George (Trey) Alvey III and co-authored by HRD's Rob Rogers and Jon Zawislak along with U. Utah Professor Ed Zipser. The poster was titled "Hurricane Edouard's (2014) Intensification: The Relationship between …
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HRD and AOML scientists participated in the 72nd Interdepartmental Hurricane Conference/Tropical Cyclone Operations and Research Forum. HRD and AOML scientists presented or were coauthors on 8 of the 39 presentations. Jason Sippel chaired the two Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT) sessions, Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan chaired a panel discussion on “Recent and Planned Improvements in Modeling Capability”, and …
You can read the paper at https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/MWR-D-17-0160.1.
Dr. Vellinga presented a seminar titled “The impact for tropical storm forecasts of upgrades to UK Met Office prediction systems”. Abstract The past two years have seen various upgrades to the UK Met Office's operational prediction systems, including a near-doubling of horizontal resolution in the global deterministic forecast model to 10 x 12km. I will …
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March’s science meeting consisted of four presentations: Josh Wadler, UM/RSMAS: Downdrafts and the Evolution of Boundary Layer Thermodynamics in Hurricane Earl (2010) Before and During Rapid Intensification Ghassan Alaka: Evaluation of Track Spread in Hurricane Joaquin (2015) Heather Holbach: Dropsonde Wind Speed Comparison to SFMR at Coyote Flight Levels Kelly Ryan-Poterjoy: Coyote Thermodynamic Verification using …
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To demonstrate how tropical cyclone research is used to improve forecast guidance HRD researchers Drs. Frank Marks, Robert Rogers, and Jason Sippel presented summaries of “NOAA’s Hurricane Research”, “Aircraft Observations of Tropical Cyclones”, and "Tropical Cyclone Modeling and Data Assimilation" to the World Meteorological Organization Regional Association IV Training Workshop held in the National Hurricane …
Abstracts and recordings of the 27 presentations and 9 posters AOML & HRD researchers presented (or were co-authors) at the 98th AMS Annual Meeting are available online from the AMS website: Presentations: Karina Apodaca, M. Zupanski, L. Cucurull, and M. Hu - Implementation of the GOES-16 GLM Lightning Assimilation into the NCEP/GSI System for Improved …
Dr. Casey presented a seminar titled "Geostationary Hyper-Spectral Sounder (Geo-HSS) Constellation: A Global Observing System Simulation Experiment (OSSE) Assessment". Abstract Observing System Simulation Experiments (OSSEs) can provide quantitative assessments of potential impacts of new observation sources, without the instrument actually being built in some cases. This presentation describes the set-up of global-scale OSSEs, from the …
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