The book discusses how to make weather warnings most effective through communication and partnerships. Warnings are the result of a process from weather observations to weather forecasts to hazard forecasts to socio-economic impact forecasts to warning messages to decisions on how to avoid or mitigate the hazard. The book offers a framework across government, private … Continue reading Toward the “Perfect” Weather Warning published
Category: Modeling and Prediction
Improvements to the NOAA regional hurricane modeling system – HWRF
Bill Ramstrom named NOAA Team Member of the Month
Bill Ramstrom is a Senior Software Engineer at the Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies (CIMAS), which partners with the NOAA Atlantic Meteorological and Oceanographic Laboratory (AOML) in Miami, FL. Bill created and coded the first ever moving “nest” for the Unified Forecast System (UFS), a modeling system that supports NOAA’s Weather and Climate … Continue reading Bill Ramstrom named NOAA Team Member of the Month
Latest version of AOML Keynotes available
Learn about the new William M. Lapenta Laboratory for the Hurricane and Ocean Testbed, the new Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System, the impact of Uncrewed Aerial Systems on hurricane forecasts, and more... The newsletter is available here.
Paper on assimilating Doppler wind lidar and Doppler radar data into a hurricane model published in Remote Sensing
This study examines the impact of assimilating Doppler Wind Lidar (DWL) data on hurricane prediction in the operational Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting system. A series of experiments were conducted to identify the best way to assimilate the DWL data in comparison to assimilation of Tail Doppler radar data. A new data thinning method was … Continue reading Paper on assimilating Doppler wind lidar and Doppler radar data into a hurricane model published in Remote Sensing
Gus Alaka highlighted in the May 2022 issue of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Paper describing a new forecast model that follows multiple tropical cyclones at the same time highlighted on the cover of the latest Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
Forecast models that follow individual tropical cyclones (TCs), like NOAA’s Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model, have contributed to significant improvement of intensity forecasts for over a decade. The original HWRF could only follow one TC, but recent advances allow individual multiple nests to follow more than one TC. This is the first time that the … Continue reading Paper describing a new forecast model that follows multiple tropical cyclones at the same time highlighted on the cover of the latest Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society
New hurricane research supports advances to NOAA’s 2022 forecasts
This summer during the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, scientists at NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML) will once again be on the frontlines helping NOAA prepare the public for severe weather. They will also conduct new research on the complex processes of how tropical cyclones form, develop, and dissipate. AOML’s operational missions tasked by NOAA’s Environmental … Continue reading New hurricane research supports advances to NOAA’s 2022 forecasts
HRD participates in the 24th AVAPS™ Users meeting
The Airborne Vertical Atmospheric Profiling System (AVAPS™) is held annually by the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Earth Observing Laboratory to discuss Science, Operations and Dropwindsonde Technology, along with having an open discussions for the different topics. NCAR is sponsored by the National Science Foundation. HRD scientists made two presentations at the recent meeting … Continue reading HRD participates in the 24th AVAPS™ Users meeting
Study on the impact of weather data not transmitted in a timely manner released online in Weather and Forecasting
We test how different groups of observations, which reach the computer that run weather models at different times, impact the model forecast. We find that by not using the observations that arrive late, the forecast is much worse, showing the importance of quick transmission of observations. Direct observations (those measured within the atmosphere) have a greater … Continue reading Study on the impact of weather data not transmitted in a timely manner released online in Weather and Forecasting
HRD Seminar – Alex Mitchell (University of Albany/SUNY) – 6 May 2022
Alex Mitchell presented a seminar titled “The Governing Dynamics and Predictability of Recurving EPAC Tropical Cyclones”. ABSTRACT: Infrequent recurving eastern North Pacific (EPAC) tropical cyclones (TCs) can threaten life and property along the West Coast of North America primarily through flooding associated with heavy rainfall. These recurving EPAC TCs are most likely to occur during … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Alex Mitchell (University of Albany/SUNY) – 6 May 2022
Hurricane Research Division 