AOML reviews science conducted during Hurricane Hunter missions into Laura

Hurricane scientists at AOML provided guidance and data support for National Hurricane Center (NHC) and Environmental Modeling Center (EMC) tasked reconnaissance into Hurricane Laura, identifying critical information about the system’s location, development, and intensification. Beginning on August 20th, 11 P-3 and 6 G-IV missions were conducted, capturing the complex lifecycle of Laura until its eventual … Continue reading AOML reviews science conducted during Hurricane Hunter missions into Laura

NOAA Hurricane hunters capture evolution of Hurricane Laura’s rapid intensification

Visible imagery from the GOES-East satellite of Hurricane Laura AOML hurricane scientists supporting NOAA reconnaissance into Hurricane Laura recognized the onset of rapid intensification when thunderstorms (often referred to as convection) began working its way around the entirety of the storm center.   Screenshot from the multimode radar when the P-3 traversed the eye Now Laura is … Continue reading NOAA Hurricane hunters capture evolution of Hurricane Laura’s rapid intensification

NOAA predicts “extremely active” hurricane season in the Atlantic

Atmospheric and oceanic conditions are primed to fuel storm development in the Atlantic, leading to what could be an “extremely active” season, according to forecasters with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center, a division of the National Weather Service. Today, the agency released its annual August update to the Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook, initially issued in May. … Continue reading NOAA predicts “extremely active” hurricane season in the Atlantic

NOAA Hurricane Model Performance is Evaluated for the First Time in Predicting Rainfall from 2017 Hurricane Harvey

On Posted onJuly 1, 2020 by AOML Communications to Hurricane Research A recent study published in the journal Atmosphere evaluated for the first time, how well NOAA’s regional hurricane model was able to forecast the location and amount of devastating rainfall in 2017’s Hurricane Harvey. The Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model predicted the realistic total rainfall and the location of … Continue reading NOAA Hurricane Model Performance is Evaluated for the First Time in Predicting Rainfall from 2017 Hurricane Harvey

Paper on the ability of forecast models to predict the extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey (2017) released Atmosphere

Hurricane Harvey brought up to 5 feet of rainfall to Texas and Louisiana in just a few days in 2017. The strongest rainfall typically happens near the center (eye) of a hurricane. Hurricane Harvey’s rainfall was unusually located far away from the eye. These unusual events make it difficult for forecast models to correctly predict … Continue reading Paper on the ability of forecast models to predict the extreme rainfall from Hurricane Harvey (2017) released Atmosphere

Paper on consumer stockpiling affects the supply of emergency supplies during and after a hurricane released online in Production and Operations Management

The main purpose of this research is to determine how consumer stockpiling (or precautionary buying) behavior, as well as storm and retail characteristics, impact the availability of essential supplies at retailers following a hurricane. You can access the paper at https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=3309457. For more information, contact Erica Rule, AOML Communications Director, at erica.rule@noaa.gov.

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of June 2020

June's science meeting consisted of six presentations: Jason Sippel: "Some thoughts about recent G-IV impact results" Sarah Ditchek: "Quantifying the Radial Impact of Dropsondes Using the Basin-Scale HWRF" Dave Nolan: "Evaluation of the Surface Wind Field Over Land in WRF Simulations of Hurricane Wilma (2005)" Lakemariam Worku: "Forecasting a Continuum Environmental Threats - Tropical Cyclone … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of June 2020

Busy Atlantic hurricane season predicted for 2020

Multiple climate factors indicate above-normal activity is most likely A summary infographic showing hurricane season probability and numbers of named storms predicted from NOAA's 2020 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook. Read the news at https://www.noaa.gov/media-release/busy-atlantic-hurricane-season-predicted-for-2020 or watch the video summary at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=asD4wtMj73s.Hurricane preparedness is critically important for the 2020 hurricane season, just as it is every … Continue reading Busy Atlantic hurricane season predicted for 2020

Paper on how the regions closest to the surface changed during the landfall of Hurricane Irene in 2011 released online in The Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

Summary: Objects on land and the land itself cause wind to be weaker at the surface than above due to friction.  In hurricanes, the strongest wind occurs where friction is no longer important, near the top of a region we call the boundary layer.  Some people live close to the surface, but others live in … Continue reading Paper on how the regions closest to the surface changed during the landfall of Hurricane Irene in 2011 released online in The Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

Lifesaving NOAA Support Following the Sinking of the Bourbon Rhode

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) provided critical assistance during the international search and rescue (SAR) and recovery efforts that followed the sinking of the M/V Bourbon Rhode in Hurricane Lorenzo last fall.  This intra-agency NOAA effort included Hurricane Hunters from the Aircraft Operations Center (AOC), scientists from the National Environmental Satellite, Data, and … Continue reading Lifesaving NOAA Support Following the Sinking of the Bourbon Rhode