This study uses a state-of-the-art hurricane modeling system developed at the NOAA/Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory’s Hurricane Research Division, the Basin-Scale Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF-B) model, to demonstrate a link between an oceanographic process called coastal downwelling and the intensification of tropical cyclones (TCs or hurricanes) near landfall. We show that coastal downwelling … Continue reading New study on how changes in ocean temperature near the coast during landfall can intensify hurricanes released online in Geophysical Research Letters
This summer during the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, scientists at NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML) will once again be on the frontlines helping NOAA prepare the public for severe weather. They will also conduct new research on the complex processes of how tropical cyclones form, develop, and dissipate. AOML’s operational missions tasked by NOAA’s Environmental … Continue reading New hurricane research supports advances to NOAA’s 2022 forecasts
On Saturday, May 14th, AOML's Hurricane Research Division participated in the 2022 Eye of the Storm outreach event at Ft. Lauderdale's Museum of Discovery & Science. HRD scientists answered questions about flying into hurricanes and how the data get into the computer models to improve the forecast. National Weather Service/National Hurricane Center table talked about … Continue reading HRD participates in the 2022 Eye of the Storm outreach event at Ft. Lauderdale’s Museum of Discovery & Science.
Alex Mitchell presented a seminar titled “The Governing Dynamics and Predictability of Recurving EPAC Tropical Cyclones”. ABSTRACT: Infrequent recurving eastern North Pacific (EPAC) tropical cyclones (TCs) can threaten life and property along the West Coast of North America primarily through flooding associated with heavy rainfall. These recurving EPAC TCs are most likely to occur during … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Alex Mitchell (University of Albany/SUNY) – 6 May 2022
Prof. Bosart presented a seminar titled “Impact of Recurving WPAC and EPAC Tropical Cyclones on Extreme Weather and Wildfire Events over the Western CONUS in Late Summer 2020”. ABSTRACT: Persistent upper-level ridging over the Rockies and an unusually weak summer monsoon that failed to bring much needed rain to the parched Southwest further favored extensive … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Prof. Lance Bosart (University of Albany/SUNY) – 6 May 2022
Forecasting turbulence is important in forecasting tropical cyclones (TCs). Turbulence is made up of random and continuously changing wind, in small areas 100 m or less across, but meteorologists forecast TCs using computer models on grids with each point several kilometers from each other. As turbulence is much smaller than these grids, it is typically … Continue reading Study on forecasting the important area closest to the surface in hurricanes published in Weather and Forecasting
The National Tropical Weather Conference was held on South Padre Island 6-9 April. Alex Garcia, a television meteorologist with San Antonio's KABB-TV, is one of the founders of the conference. "The idea for the National Tropical Weather Conference came about when the Bahamas Weather Conference ended," Garcia said. "There was no organized effort to educate … Continue reading Jason Sippel and Frank Marks participate in the National Tropical Weather Conference
April's science meeting consisted of two presentations: Sim Aberson: The polygonal eyewall of Hurricane Fabian Robert Rogers: Characteristics of Aligning Weak Tropical Cyclones Copies of the four presentations are available here.
March’s science meeting consisted of four presentations by students of our collaborator Prof. Haiyan Zhang at Florida International University: Xinxi Wang: Relating Tropical Cyclone Intensification Rate and Inner-Core Features Using 16-yr TMI data Adrian Lopez: Defining Tropical Cyclone Rapid Intensification Using Bootstrapping Extreme Threshold Estimation Oscar Guzman: Climatology of Tropical Cyclone Rainfall Magnitude at Different … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of March 2022
Hundreds of undergraduate and graduate student scientists recently gathered at Florida A&M University (FAMU) in Tallahassee for the 10th Biennial National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Educational Partnership Program with Minority-Serving Institutions (EPP/MSI) Education and Science Forum. The EPP/MSI Program is NOAA’s largest investment in post-secondary education and future workforce development with thousands of students … Continue reading Heather Holbach participates in FAMU 10th Biennial NOAA EPP/MSI Education and Science Forum