HRD Monthly Science Meeting of February 2018

February’s science meeting consisted of three presentations: Rob Rogers: The relationship between tropical cyclone structure and intensification in moderate vertical shear Jon Zawislak: 2018 NOAA/AOML/HRD Hurricane Field Program Intensity Forecast Experiment (IFEX): Overview of Experiment Design Pete Black: Emerging Airborne Technologies for improved TC Track and Intensity Forecasting: Preliminary Observations from SHOUT and EPOCH All the …

Paper on the difference between rapidly intensifying storms and those that don’t intensify as fast published in Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

Summary: The main model that forecasters use to predict what a hurricane will do is the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) model. Because we cannot measure what is currently happening in the hurricane exactly, we run the model many times at once with different measurements to get an idea of the different forecasts that …

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of January 2018

January’s science meeting consisted of three presentations: Jon Zawislak:  Preliminary results on the sources of condensate in the hurricane outflow layer Sim Aberson:  Observations of gravity waves in tropical cyclones Jason Dunion:  Assessing tropical cyclone intensity change in moderate vertical wind shear using dropsondes: thermodynamics of the lower troposphere All the presentations are available on …

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of December 2017

December’s science meeting consisted of three presentations: Dave Nolan:  Preliminary results on the sources of condensate in the hurricane outflow layer Jun Zhang:  Observations of gravity waves in tropical cyclones Leon Nguyen:  Assessing tropical cyclone intensity change in moderate vertical wind shear using dropsondes: thermodynamics of the lower troposphere All the presentations are available on …

HRD Seminar – Dr. Morgan O’Neill, T. C. Chamberlin Postdoctoral Fellow, University of Chicago – 14 November 2017

Dr. O'Neill presented a seminar on “Diurnal gravity waves as a probe of hurricanes’ internal structure“. Abstract: Satellite observations of cloudy hurricane canopies have shown a universal, daily, wave-like feature that propagates radially outward, as far as 600 km (Dunion et al. 2014). Daytime solar heating of a hurricane’s upper eyewall is surely responsible, but …

HRD observation team monthly meeting – 16 November 2017

The purpose of the observation team meetings is to bring together the people who use observations in their research on a regular basis to discuss issues they’re having, provide updates on observations they’re analyzing or collecting, and any other information that may be of interest to the broader group.  These meetings are also an excellent …

Paper on how tropical storms do (or don’t) organize thunderstorms around the center to intensify published in Monthly Weather Review

It has been believed that tropical cyclones are likely to strengthen when strong thunderstorms (called convection) almost completely surround the storm's center. In order to better understand what prevents this convection from surrounding the storm’s center in some storms (but not others), this study analyzes data collected on NOAA aircraft flights in two storms that …

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of October 2017

October’s science meeting consisted of 5 presentations: Gus Alaka – 2017 Basin-Scale HWRF Preliminary Verification Sim Aberson – IFS (EC) and GFS Forecasts During 2017 Sim Aberson – Extreme Horizontal and Vertical Winds Measured by Dropwindsondes During the 2017 Hurricane Field Program Lisa Bucci – P-3 Doppler Wind Lidar: 2017 Progress Heather Holbach – WSRA …