The book discusses how to make weather warnings most effective through communication and partnerships. Warnings are the result of a process from weather observations to weather forecasts to hazard forecasts to socio-economic impact forecasts to warning messages to decisions on how to avoid or mitigate the hazard. The book offers a framework across government, private … Continue reading Toward the “Perfect” Weather Warning published
Learn about the new William M. Lapenta Laboratory for the Hurricane and Ocean Testbed, the new Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System, the impact of Uncrewed Aerial Systems on hurricane forecasts, and more... The newsletter is available here.
This study examines the impact of assimilating Doppler Wind Lidar (DWL) data on hurricane prediction in the operational Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting system. A series of experiments were conducted to identify the best way to assimilate the DWL data in comparison to assimilation of Tail Doppler radar data. A new data thinning method was … Continue reading Paper on assimilating Doppler wind lidar and Doppler radar data into a hurricane model published in Remote Sensing
This summer during the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season, scientists at NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory (AOML) will once again be on the frontlines helping NOAA prepare the public for severe weather. They will also conduct new research on the complex processes of how tropical cyclones form, develop, and dissipate. AOML’s operational missions tasked by NOAA’s Environmental … Continue reading New hurricane research supports advances to NOAA’s 2022 forecasts
The Airborne Vertical Atmospheric Profiling System (AVAPS™) is held annually by the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) Earth Observing Laboratory to discuss Science, Operations and Dropwindsonde Technology, along with having an open discussions for the different topics. NCAR is sponsored by the National Science Foundation. HRD scientists made two presentations at the recent meeting … Continue reading HRD participates in the 24th AVAPS™ Users meeting
On Saturday, May 14th, AOML's Hurricane Research Division participated in the 2022 Eye of the Storm outreach event at Ft. Lauderdale's Museum of Discovery & Science. HRD scientists answered questions about flying into hurricanes and how the data get into the computer models to improve the forecast. National Weather Service/National Hurricane Center table talked about … Continue reading HRD participates in the 2022 Eye of the Storm outreach event at Ft. Lauderdale’s Museum of Discovery & Science.
We test how different groups of observations, which reach the computer that run weather models at different times, impact the model forecast. We find that by not using the observations that arrive late, the forecast is much worse, showing the importance of quick transmission of observations. Direct observations (those measured within the atmosphere) have a greater … Continue reading Study on the impact of weather data not transmitted in a timely manner released online in Weather and Forecasting
April's science meeting consisted of two presentations: Sim Aberson: The polygonal eyewall of Hurricane Fabian Robert Rogers: Characteristics of Aligning Weak Tropical Cyclones Copies of the four presentations are available here.
The document aligns with AOML's three goals: Goal 1: Empower Our Team. Create an inclusive and cutting-edge environment that fosters discovery, exploration, and success. Goal 2: Observe the Earth System: Collect and evaluate ocean, atmosphere, and marine ecosystem observations that contribute to the body of scientific knowledge of the Atlantic Ocean region to improve the ability to … Continue reading AOML releases Accomplishments for 2021
For the first time, near-surface observations obtained by small Uncrewed Aircraft Systems (or drones) in a major hurricane (Hurricane Maria of 2017) were utilized in a state-of-the-art computer. Such observations are impossible to obtain using regular hurricane hunter aircraft. Furthermore, a new technique to identify and eliminate observations that may not be useful in improving analyses or … Continue reading Study on using hard-to-obtain observations from uncrewed aircraft in Hurricane Maria to improve analyses and forecasts published in Monthly Weather Review