Read the full study at https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-19-0303.1.
You can find the article at https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/BAMS-D-18-0257.1.
Read the study at https://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JPO-D-19-0136.1.
Reposted from https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/news/modeling-michael/ In a recently published study, AOML hurricane researchers used multiple computer model forecasts to gain a better understanding of how Hurricane Michael rapidly intensified to 162 mph before making landfall in the panhandle of Florida. Hurricane Michael is an interesting case as it intensified despite strong upper-level wind shear, which usually weakens … Continue reading Modeling Michael: Using NOAA’s HFV3 to predict rapid intensification of Hurricane Michael
Weather forecasters use computer models to make predictions. These forecasts of the future depend on knowing what is happening now, what we call initial conditions. However, we can't measure the weather at every location on earth all the time, so we don't know exactly what these initial conditions are. Therefore, we run forecast models many … Continue reading Paper on how Hurricane Michael (2018) intensified rapidly in the Gulf of Mexico released online in Monthly Weather Review
March’s science meeting consisted of four presentations: Lakemariam Worku: Diurnal Cycle of Rainfall and Convection over the Maritime Continent (the MC) Using TMPA and ISCCP Kathryn Sellwood: Calculating Shear from Dropsondes Michael Fischer: Tropical Cyclone Radar Archive of Dual-Doppler Analyses with Recentering (TC-RADAR) John Kaplan: Preliminary analysis of the impact of wind structure and eye predictors … Continue reading HRD Monthly Science Meeting of March 2020
HRD researchers and our collaborators from the NSF-sponsored Organization of Tropical Eastern Pacific Convection (OTREC) experiment discussed the results from the 4 P-3 and 3 NCAR G-V HIAPER missions into EP95 which eventually became Hurricane Ivo in the Eastern Pacific. IFEX flew 4 P-3 missions from Liberia, Costa Rica into the disturbance that became Ivo, … Continue reading HRD Debrief for missions into EP95/Pre-Ivo in collaboration with OTREC – 3 March 2020
Dr. Aksoy presented a seminar titled “Assimilation of Coyote UAS Observations in Hurricane Maria (2017): Optimization of Data Impact”. ABSTRACT The Coyote is a low-altitude small unmanned aircraft system (sUAS) that is air-launched from the NOAA WP-3D (P-3) hurricane hunter aircraft through its existing standard A-size sonobuoy launch capability. Its meteorological sensors directly measure temperature, … Continue reading HRD Seminar – Dr. Altug Aksoy (CIMAS/HRD) – 3 March 2020
You can read the full study at https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0169809519316229?via%3Dihub
You can access the paper at https://arxiv.org/abs/1902.06202