Paper on how small-scale changes in winds in hurricanes impact hurricane forecasts released online in Weather and Forecasting

Summary: Forecasters and researchers use the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting (HWRF) model to forecast where a hurricane will go, how strong and large it will be, and where the strongest winds will be. Wind in hurricanes are different over very short distances like 100 m, or the length of a football field, what is …

Paper on updrafts in hurricanes and how they relate to intensity changes released online in Monthly Weather Review

Summary:  NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft have a Doppler radar that measures wind through the entire hurricane.  We analyzed these radar data collected in many hurricanes since 2004.  Previous studies found that the location of the fastest upward moving air (what we call updrafts) may tell us how strong the storm will be a few hours …

Paper on the difference between rapidly intensifying storms and those that don’t intensify as fast published in Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences

Summary: The main model that forecasters use to predict what a hurricane will do is the Hurricane Weather Research and Forecast (HWRF) model. Because we cannot measure what is currently happening in the hurricane exactly, we run the model many times at once with different measurements to get an idea of the different forecasts that …

Lisa Bucci named NOAA Team Member of the Month

Lisa Bucci was honored this month for her courageous work last year during Hurricane Irma. Hurricane Irma was an extremely powerful and catastrophic hurricane -- the most intense storm to strike the U.S. coastline since Hurricane Katrina in 2005. On the morning of September 7, 2017, the NOAA National Hurricane Center (NHC) issued hurricane watches …

HRD Monthly Science Meeting of January 2018

January’s science meeting consisted of three presentations: Jon Zawislak:  Preliminary results on the sources of condensate in the hurricane outflow layer Sim Aberson:  Observations of gravity waves in tropical cyclones Jason Dunion:  Assessing tropical cyclone intensity change in moderate vertical wind shear using dropsondes: thermodynamics of the lower troposphere All the presentations are available on …

Shirley Murillo, Xaymara Serrano, and Alejandra Lorenzo attend the Society for Advancement of Chicanos/Hispanics and Native Americans in Science National Diversity in STEM Conference in Salt Lake City

Shirley Murillo, HRD's Deputy Director, along with Alejandra Lorenzo, Information Technology Specialist at AOML, and Xaymara Serrano, Post-Doctoral Associate at the Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies working at AOML's Ocean Chemistry and Ecosystems Division, all attended the SACNAS Diversity in STEM Conference in Salt Lake City, Utah in October.   Shirley was a …

Kelly Ryan, Renellys Perez, and Lisa Bucci talk about recent outreach events

Kelly Ryan and Lisa Bucci of HRD and Renellys Perez of AOML's Physical Oceanography Division presented their recent experiences in talking to students around the country about their careers and experiences. Kelly went to the Intrepid Air, Sea, and Space Museum in New York City to talk to students of all ages at their GOALS …