This manuscript is a summary of the recent advancements in aircraft and in situ (those taken at the location of the instrument) observations of tropical cyclones around the world over the past four years. It was prepared for the tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10). Data collection is discussed along with improvements to observing … Continue reading Paper summarizing recent advances in observing tropical cyclones released online in Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
Recent research into tropical cyclones highlighted in latest issue of AOML Keynotes
Highlights include the impact of GPS dropwindsonde data on forecasts, looking at uncertainties in the forecasts of Hurricane Dorian to understand and improve forecasts, and how vertical wind shear impacts intensity. The latest Keynotes is available at https://www.aoml.noaa.gov/wp-content/uploads/2023/05/Jan-Mar-2023-AOML-Keynotes-Newsletter.pdf. For more information, contact aoml.communications@noaa.gov.
Paper on using machine learning to improve rapid intensification forecasts released online in Weather and Forecasting
A new machine learning (ML) model has the potential to provide rapid intensification (RI) forecasts that are better than those currently available. The paper highlights the importance of proper predictor selection and ML development. The approach taken in this project also sets guidelines for future relevant ML research. Figure 1. The performance of various models … Continue reading Paper on using machine learning to improve rapid intensification forecasts released online in Weather and Forecasting
Five ways NOAA’s research improves hurricane forecasts
Researchers at NOAA seek new techniques to advance hurricane forecasts to better protect life and property. In preparation for the upcoming 2023 hurricane season, which begins June 1, scientists are accelerating the use of small uncrewed aircraft technologies and the collocation of observational ocean assets, among other advancements. Read about five ways that NOAA researchers … Continue reading Five ways NOAA’s research improves hurricane forecasts
A conversation with the lead modeler of NOAA’s new hurricane forecast model
A conversation with Sundararaman “Gopal” Gopalakrishnan, Ph.D., the senior meteorologist and leader of the modeling team that developed NOAA’s newest hurricane forecast model – the Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System – that is expected to go into full operation at NOAA’s National Weather Service in late June. Gopalakrishnan leads the Hurricane Modeling and Prediction Program at NOAA’s Atlantic Oceanographic & … Continue reading A conversation with the lead modeler of NOAA’s new hurricane forecast model
Two papers summarizing the rapporteur report on recent improvements in tropical cyclone intensity change prediction from an operational perspective from IWTC-10 released online in Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
The two papers summarize the rapporteur report on recent improvements in tropical cyclone intensity change prediction from an operational perspective from the 10th International Workshop on Tropical Cyclone in Bali, Indonesia. The first part focuses on recent improvements to dynamical models and the notable increase in operational intensity forecast skill. Ongoing challenges for further improving … Continue reading Two papers summarizing the rapporteur report on recent improvements in tropical cyclone intensity change prediction from an operational perspective from IWTC-10 released online in Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
A day in the life of a NOAA Hurricane Hunter
Have you ever wondered what an average day looks like for a NOAA Hurricane Hunter? Follow along as Holly Stahl, a communications intern with AOML through the University of Miami’s Cooperative Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Studies (CIMAS) traveled to Aruba in September 2022 to join a Hurricane Hunter mission into Hurricane Fiona. Click here for the full … Continue reading A day in the life of a NOAA Hurricane Hunter
Paper on how accurately predicting turbulence can improve forecasts of tropical cyclones published in the Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Accurately predicting the distribution and transport of wind energy is important for accurate forecasting of hurricanes by computer models. This study aims to improve our understanding of the energy associated with small-scale eddies and gusts that are known as turbulence. Computer simulations were analyzed to study the distributions of turbulent energy and how hurricane structure … Continue reading Paper on how accurately predicting turbulence can improve forecasts of tropical cyclones published in the Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems
Paper summarizing the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones released online in Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
This paper summarizes the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones (IWTC-10), sponsored by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO). The workshop brings together forecasters and researchers from countries around the world that are impacted by tropical cyclones (TCs) with the purpose of discussing the latest research and forecast advances and sharing best practices to improve TC … Continue reading Paper summarizing the Tenth International Workshop on Tropical Cyclones released online in Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
Paper summarizing recent advances in intensity change research released online in Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
This paper summarizes recent research on a variety of topics related to tropical cyclone (TC) intensity change. These include processes occurring where the air and the sea meet and within the lowest 3000 ft of the atmosphere, small-scale processes within clouds, and how heat from the sun and the earth's surface (radiation) interacts with TCs. … Continue reading Paper summarizing recent advances in intensity change research released online in Tropical Cyclone Research and Review
Hurricane Research Division 