National Hurricane Center’s Hurricane Specialist, Eric Blake presented a seminar on “Analysis and Forecast Challenges with Hurricane Sandy”. A video recording of the presentation is available on our site. (Note: File size ~180MB).
Dr. Aberson presented a seminar on “The lifecycle of Hurricane Sandy (2012) from HEDAS analyses using aircraft data”. A video recording of the presentation is available on the anonymous ftp site:
Jason Dunion presented a seminar on “Development of a Probabilistic Tropical Cyclone Genesis Prediction Scheme”. A video recording of the presentation is available on the anonymous ftp site:
Dr. Halliwell presented a seminar on “Evaluation of Targeted Ocean Observing Strategies for Improving Ocean Forecast Model Initialization Using a Rigorously Evaluated Fraternal Twin Ocean OSSE System”. A video recording of the presentation is available on the anonymous ftp site:
The slides from HRD Director Frank Marks’ presentation to the WMO Regional Association IV Training Workshop held in the NHC media room are available on the anonymous ftp site:
- Panel: Tropical Cyclone Research: The View from the Top (HFIP) - Dr. Frank Marks, Jr., Director, NOAA’s Hurricane Research Division
- Comparison of the 2010 and 2012 Snapshots of Tropical Cyclone Research and Development - Frank Marks (AOML/HRD) and Ronald Ferek (ONR)
- The Hurricane Forecast Improvement Project: Recent Operational Implementation - Bob Gall (NWS), Fred Toepfer (NWS), Frank Marks (AOML/HRD), and Ed Rappaport (NHC)
- The Basin-Scale HWRF: Looking Beyond the 10-M Wind Speed for Improved Storm Predictions - Sundararaman G.Gopalakrishnan (AOML/HRD) , Vijay Tallapragada (NCEP/EMC), Xuejin Zhang (CIMAS), Frank Marks, Jr., and Robert Atlas (AOML/HRD)
- An Update on The Joint Hurricane Testbed (JHT) - Jiann-Gwo Jiing, Chris Landsea, and Shirley Murillo (JHT)
- Improved SFMR Surface Wind Measurements in Intense Rain Conditions - Eric Uhlhorn (NOAA/OAR/AOML) and Brad Klotz (CIMAS/Univ. of Miami)
- Development of a Probabilistic Tropical Cyclone Genesis Prediction Scheme - Jason Dunion (UM/CIMAS, AOML), John Kaplan (NOAA/OAR/AOML), Andrea Schumacher (CSU/CIRA), Joshua Cossuth (FSU/COAPS), and Mark DeMaria (NESDIS)
- Validation of HWRF Forecasts with Satellite Observations - Tomislava Vukicevic (NOAA/OAR/AOML) and Tom Greenwald (Univ. of Wisconsin/CIMSS)
- Improvement to the SHIPS Rapid Intensification Index:: A Year-2 JHT Project Update - John Kaplan (NOAA/AOML), Christopher M. Rozoff (CIMSS), Charles R. Sampson (NRL), Jim Kossin (NCDC), Chris Velden (CIMSS), and Mark DeMaria (NESDIS)
- Improvements in Statistical Tropical Cyclone Forecast Models: A Year 2 Joint Hurricane Testbed Project Update - Mark DeMaria (NOAA/NESDIS), Andrea Schumacher (CIRA/CSU), John A. Knaff (NOAA/ NESDIS), John Kaplan (NOAA/AOML),and Renate Brummer (CIRA/CSU)
- Enhancement of SHIPS-RI Index using Satellite 37 GHz Microwave Ring Pattern - Haiyan Jiang (Florida Intl Univ.), Margie Kieper and Tie Yuan (FIU), Edward J. Zipser (Univ. of Utah), and John Kaplan (HRD)
- Improved Telescopic Nesting and its Effects on Hurricane Forecasting - Samuel Trahan (I.M. Systems Group/NCEP), Young Kwon (EMC/IMSG), Qingfu Liu (EMC) Xuejin Zhang (UM/CIMAS), Hui-Ya Chuang (EMC), Dave Zelinsky (NHC/SRG), Greg Thompson (NCAR), Shaowu Bao (ESRL) Ligia Bernardet (ESRL), Vijay Tallapragada (EMC), Brad Ferrier (EMC/IMSG)
- Potential Upgrades for the Radiation and Boundary Layer Physics in the Operational HWRF Model - Young Kwon (EMC/IMSG), Chanh Kieu , Weiguo Wang , Sam Trahan, Qingfu Liu, Zhan Zhang, Vijay Tallapragada (EMC) and Jun Zhang (CIMAS/HRD)
- Evaluation of the Ocean Response in HWRF: How Changes in the Atmosphere-Ocean Fluxes Affect Forecast Skill - Ligia Bernardet (NOAA/ESRL), Eric Uhlhorn (AOML/HRD), Shaowu Bao (NOAA/ESRL), Joe Cione (AOML/HRD)
- Observations of Upwelling Processes during Tropical Storm Isaac - Benjamin Jaime, Lynn K. Shay, Jodi Brewster, Ryan Schuster (RSMAS/Univ. of Miami) and Mark Powell (AOML/HRD)
- COASTAL Act Requirements for Tropical Cyclone Post-Storm Assessments and Response by NOAA and Interagency Partners - Stephen Lord (NWS), Michael Bilder (NWS), Mark Powell (AOML/HRD), Jesse Feyen (NOS), Andre Westhuysen (NWS/EMC), and Tim Owen (NESDIS/NCDC)
- Panel: Conference Wrap-Up (HFIP) - Dr. Frank Marks, Jr., NOAA/HRD
- A Developmental Framework for Improving Hurricane Model Physical Parameterizations Using Aircraft Observations - Jun Zhang (CIMAS/HRD), Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan (HRD), Frank Marks (HRD), Robert Rogers (HRD), and Vijay Tallapragada (EMC)
- A Robust Observation Operator and Associated Background Covariances to Assimilate Rain Microwave Radiance into Cloud-Permitting Models - Ziad S. Haddad[1,2], Jeffrey Steward, Tomislava Vukicevic, Svetla Hristova‐VelevaU[1,2] (UCLA/JIFRESSE, NASA/JPL, & NOAA/AOML)
Dr. Vukicevic presented a seminar on “Multi Scale Intensity (MSI) Metric for Dynamic Forecast Evaluation” which is available on the NHC science presentation web site or at:
A workshop on High-Resolution Regional Modeling for Tropical Cyclones was hosted by the Shanghai Typhoon Institute (STI) of China Meteorological Administration (CMA) at the Shanghai Meteorological Bureau (SMB), 20-21 December 2012. Four invited NOAA scientists, Drs. Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan and Xuejin Zhang of HRD, plus Dr. Vijay Tallapragada from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP), and Dr. J.-W. Bao, from the Earth System Research Laboratory (ESRL), participated with scientists from SMB and STI.
Scientists from both organizations reviewed progress in advanced tropical-cyclone prediction, improved data assimilation and physics techniques, and application of the operational HWRF in the Western Pacific Region. Discussion on future directions for advanced model development followed the scientific presentations. Suggestions for improving operational systems at SMB, and possible collaboration between SMB/STI and NOAA were also discussed.
The participants recognized the need for improving STI’s capabilities in typhoon prediction, including implementation of state-of-the-art high-resolution numerical modeling system. Based on the discussions , the following recommendations to establish a joint collaborative effort between NOAA and STI/CMA were made:
- Transfer of HWRF to STI computing platforms
- Operational Implementation of HWRF at STI for the 2013 season
- Set up STI to conduct advanced research in vortex initialization, data assimilation, ocean coupling and landfall applications
- Exchange visits by scientists from STI and NOAA
- Organize another workshop in 2013 to review the progress and set future goals.
The four NOAA presentations are available in an zip archive at ftp://ftp.aoml.noaa.gov/hrd/pub/blog/seminars/2013/Shanghai-20121220.zip
The HFIP Annual Review Meeting was held in a series of six weekly telecoms held on Wednesday from 7 November to 19 December. The agenda and presentations are available at:
Dr. Sundararaman Gopalakrishnan made an invited presentation about tropical cyclones at the NOAA Science Day event on September 12th. He emphasized the critical use of observations obtained from NOAA’s aircraft in improving hurricane forecasts.
On September 13th, he briefed members of the House Committee on Science, the Senate Committee on Commerce, and staff from various offices of representatives and senators.
A copy of Dr. Gopalakrishnan’s presentation is available on our ftp site at: